Wintry Dec 8-10th Winter Storm

[Webberweather53]

If you look at the pivotal maps for ZR, CLT apparently gets almost an inch of ice along with that foot of snow.

Sounds a lot like Jan 1988 lol except there was less ZR...

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Fv3 looks similar so far to last run

 

[Tarheel1]

I wonder what the difference in temps is between the Jan 88 and this storm? Did Jan 88 storm have more cold air to work with ?

Yes. In CLT it was 16 degrees during most of the storm!

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

I wonder what the difference in temps is between the Jan 88 and this storm? Did Jan 88 storm have more cold air to work with ?

Looks like that southern wave got ate up early by the northern piece of energy and it literally crawled from east to west along the gulf coast never really aplifying. That and a 1040 HP. It was a perfect setup

 

[RBR71]

Ok I'm guilty of it too.... but to be consistent here, earlier we asked all Feb 14 talk go to banter, guess we should do the same for the '88 storm.

 

[EastAtlwx]

Looks like that southern wave got ate up early by the northern piece of energy and it literally crawled from east to west along the coast never really aplifying. That and a 1040 HP. It was a perfect setup

and it happened at the best time in terms of climo temps.. man if we could of gotten this setup in early jan... would help southern areas big time

 

[Snowman63]

I wonder what the difference in temps is between the Jan 88 and this storm? Did Jan 88 storm have more cold air to work with ?

yes, much colder. In the wake of that storm Memphis got down to ~5°. I remember that storm like it was yesterday.

 

[Tarheel1]

Sounds a lot like Jan 1988 lol except there was less ZR...

Yeah, I had a 1/4” of ice on top of about 16” of powder in Gastonia!! Temps in the teens! As storm pulled way, went to ZR, it was great

 

[SoutheastRidge]

Since Jan 88 was so much colder I guess it wouldnt be right to compare the two. Too bad we couldnt have this setup a month from now.

 

[RBR71]

Ok I'm guilty of it too.... but to be consistent here, earlier we asked all Feb 14 talk go to banter, guess we should do the same for the '88 storm.

Hey y'all got me on ignore or something? Lol

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Gefs went down a little

 

[Avalanche]

Met, I thought that was very much respectful of you to consider doing that. I personally think those storms have something to offer us in reference to our current one, but I do understand how new site members could get confused.

 

[Sandstorm94]

Gefs went down a little

Faster run, that's why

 

[RBR71]

Met, I thought that was very much respectful of you to consider doing that. I personally think those storms have something to offer us in reference to our current one, but I do understand how new site members could get confused.

I actually don't have an issue with it, earlier the timing was bad and just kept on and on lol.... when in context and not disrupting the flow I'm good with it

 

[Deleted member 609]

Gefs went north

 

[RBR71]

 

[DLI4SCwx]

Axis of heavy snow shifted north on the GEFS.

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

Gefs went north

Ever so slightly. Noise really.

 

[Avalanche]

Boy is this gonna be a wild 5 days or what??!!!

 

[Deleted member 609]

When your in south Charlotte every inch counts lol

 

[RBR71]

I'd feel better if I was on the NW edge of the frozen precip as opposed to the SE edge....

 

[Avalanche]

A respectable shift north, still a map I'd cling on to however..

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

FV3 nearly identical to 06z at 102. LP a smidge weaker

 

[Avalanche]

Roanoke/Charlottesville/Blacksburg areas of VA have taken a pounding on the models today. Let's hope we can push that back into the Carolinas with a majority of the models tomorrow.

 

[SoutheastRidge]

Snow chasers may wanna head to Roanoke !

 

[Kylo]

GEFS has been fairly consistent for several runs now with track. Latest mean went up.

 

[Webberweather53]

GEFS has been fairly consistent for several runs now with track. Latest mean went up.

View attachment 8205

Oof that's a sizable shift northward against the 18z run towards the mid-Atlantic.

 

[Avalanche]

GEFS has been fairly consistent for several runs now with track. Latest mean went up.

View attachment 8205

I think Wake/Chatham can live with that. NE GA and Upstate SC nice totals. Must depict strength of the HP and CAD.

 

[Kylo]

Oof that's a sizable shift northward against the 18z run towards the mid-Atlantic.

Here is both. Fairly close.

 

[Avalanche]

Oof that's a sizable shift northward against the 18z run towards the mid-Atlantic.

With that being considered, its still a modest amount for areas south of Triangle getting some 2-4" on this model output.

 

[Tarheel1]

GFSv3 looks like it’s gonna be N and warmer! Hour 96 low in Mexico, but precip looks wonky

 

[WxWatch]

It appears on the 0z FV3, the southern wave is a tad faster then the 0z GFS. I think the 0z FV3 will be about the same as the 0z GFS, if not better.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

GEFS has been fairly consistent for several runs now with track. Latest mean went up.

View attachment 8205

running out of time south of 85.

Here is both. Fairly close.

View attachment 8208 View attachment 8209

still in the 4” mean here but it’s running away north towards 85. Sounds about right though honestly

 

[Kylo]

running out of time south of 85.

still in the 4” mean here but it’s running away north towards 85. Sounds about right though honestly

Hopefully we can see some flakes fly or at least some sleet.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

GFSv3 looks like it’s gonna be N and warmer! Hour 96 low in Mexico, but precip looks wonky

“Our short wave hasn’t even been sampled yet”

 

[Kylo]

UK

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Fv3 buries I-85 North in nc with snow

 

[StoneMtnWx]

Here is 6 hourly mslp of 0z ukmet.
Previous run tracked low into S Al and through Ga before transitioning off the coast.

 

[Snowflowxxl]

GA temps stil a problems besides far NE part of state on FV3. Get some backside snow. This is gonna be difficult

 

[Kylo]

UK snow