Wintry Dec 8-10th Winter Storm

[Avalanche]

Avalanche, its still 5 days out, avalanche, its still 5 days out......

 

[Storm5]

If you’re a guest please register . You could win one of our Christmas gifts . We have ten days of giving left to go !

 

[Weatherlover92]

Something I noticed on this 00z GFS run was there was more northern stream influence with our southern wave vs 18z GFS. I'm assuming that obviously had some impact on the outcome of this run.

 

[accu35]

Lol, 20 pages of rain event

 

[TheBatman]

Nope , I’m use to this and it’s the reason I love this time of year . Plus my back yard has never really been in the game . I just need a solution like the euro to verify cause I’ll be in Huntsville this weekend .

Yea I know. Seems like we are always on the edge of things.

 

[SimeonNC]

So what I am getting is that the 0z GFS was pretty much better than the 18z but it didn't translate to the surface forecasts, okay then.

 

[StoneMtnWx]

GFS run was better, despite what p-type and clown maps show. The 850 low is south this run which is big. Anytime it goes north or right over you it’s going to change to rain. People never track the 850 lows anymore but it’s one of the most important features in a setup like this to follow.

Yep and to compare with 12Z EURO run...850mb low on euro much further south. A feature to watch.

 

[TheBatman]

So what I am getting is that the 0z GFS was pretty much better than the 18z but it didn't translate to the surface forecasts, okay then.

Yes, correct. You can’t always go by the precip maps.

 

[TheBatman]

I'm playing around tonight, maybe tomorrow runs will be better.

Oh we know that. Gotta have fun somehow right. If not we all would be miserable. I always try to have a positive outlook..

 

[deltadog03]

Honestly if your on the north side of that 850 low, and def north, you could see a nice thump .GFS looked wrong with the CAD areas as well .if doc does some cray crap tonight then we shall see. EPS trended better today as well.

 

[Avalanche]

If its within reasonable range, ill drive to see it if we dont get any here.

 

[NWMSGuy]

Oh we know that. Gotta have fun somehow right. If not we all would be miserable. I always try to have a positive outlook..

The EURO will make us all Happy again. :weenie:

 

[WxWatch]

What's not making since on the GFS is, the high isn't moving east as the low moves east. The high just hangs around the Upper-Plains. It should be more east, just NW of the low like what the 12z Euro shows. No, I'm not wish casting, sometimes you have to visualize from your experience to help bring these models to realism. Not that bad of a GFS run, it's having issues with the track of low, the high and temps. With the CMC? I have no idea what it's doing, but it's off it's rocker.

 

[Kylo]

GFS doesn't have dome of hp like the Euro. Plus, stronger southern wave. Both of these equal further north track.

 

[SoutheastRidge]

I do think people got excited about this just a tad early. If it was 2 or 3 days away I could understand but 6 days ?

 

[SimeonNC]

I'm pretty sure that the GEFS wont support what the op shows at the surface, one wonky run of a model that is on its way out is not a reason to be ready to cliff jump.

 

[TheBatman]

The EURO will make us all Happy again. :weenie:

Yes the King will be in soon.

 

[Kylo]

UK doesn't look all that great either. Hopefully tomorrows runs tick back to what we want. HP already sliding off the coast and slp is slower and stronger than Euro.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

This is what happens when Chris Justus shows a 30” Euro clown map 6 days before a storm! What an idiot

 

[Ethan80963]

For most in NE GA and Upstate SC the 18z GFS (except tail end snow) and 12z CMC didn’t do anything anyway so this run didn’t take anything from me.