• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Wintry Dec 8-10th Winter Storm

Last edited:
I love 201.. sike!
Everybody is talking about “stale” cold and such, there’s a fresh cold front coming through Friday, and precip arriving Sat/Sat night, I think the models may be missing this fresh cold, even f it’s not record breaking!?
 
Tarheel1 said:
I love 201.. sike!
Everybody is talking about “stale” cold and such, there’s a fresh cold front coming through Friday, and precip arriving Sat/Sat night, I think the models may be missing this fresh cold, even f it’s not record breaking!?
Click to expand...

Fresh data will be in tomorrow so we’ll see
 
Nice changes on the 18z ICON, it's coming into line with other modeling and adjusted a bit colder once again. It's still one of the warmer models though.
 
Round Oak Weather- Zeb said:
Still seems just as warm just not as much widespread warmth
Click to expand...

It's a bit cooler especially places like Tennessee and the Midwest. Heights are pressing down more this run.
icon_mslp_pcpn_us_40.png


Compared with latest run
icon_mslp_pcpn_us_38.png
 
Going to be a rough drive home from Gatlinburg driving through the smokies and Asheville back to Columbia Sunday. Will probably be all rain in Gatlinburg. Asheville will be a mess.
 
Robert West said:
Going to be a rough drive home from Gatlinburg driving through the smokies and Asheville back to Columbia Sunday. Will probably be all rain in Gatlinburg. Asheville will be a mess.
Click to expand...
If the roads are even open ! If they get 1-2 feet of snow good luck driving through that !
 
Round Oak Weather- Zeb said:
That also outta help to keep this storm south and get more cold air down right?
Click to expand...

Yep, we want to see the heights pressing down more to keep this suppressed and also the cold air in place. The ICON is just catching up to what the GFS and Euro have been showing but it's good to see it at least coming in agreement.

Speaking of the GFS... the 18z one looks very good so far. The 5h low at 78 is south more, slightly stronger HP and heights pressing even more than the 12z run.
 
The ICON is usually so absurdly warm with winter events around here on most occasions I tend to use it sparingly, but occasionally it'll be dead on the money, I don't think that's going to be true here though no way there's not at least mixed p-types up near the I-64 corridor with that kind of cold high coming down.
 
Cold is more tilted southeast vs southwest whereas you had mixing in northcentral OK on the 12z and now you don't. 540 is south of Rocky Mount at 102 where it wasn't before.
 
Interested to see how this s/w dive bombing southeastward (& barely on the edge of screen here) near the Hudson Bay influences our cold high in subsequent frames on the GFS.
gfs_z500_vort_us_19.png
 
Webberweather53 said:
The ICON is usually so absurdly warm with winter events around here on most occasions I tend to use it sparingly, but occasionally it'll be dead on the money, I don't think that's going to be true here though no way there's not at least mixed p-types up near the I-64 corridor with that kind of cold high coming down.
Click to expand...
Yeah, 540 line Thru DCA, Hope Icon is dead wrong with temps!
 
HP will be able to move in a bit faster. Storm itself is a tad slower vs 12z.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top