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Wintry Dec 8-10th Winter Storm

At 18z SAT the SLP is in south MS and a tick further east versus 18z, so it's not cutting north just yet. (HR 132)

Edit: In fact it's moving slightly SE at hr 144 compared to 18z GFS.
 
it not north, high pressure just isnt as strong. lp is actually a bit se of 18z. either way, not good.
 
Despite al, the cliff jumping I actually like this run of the GFS better. The 5H low is a bit further south and the 850 low is too. Surface low along gulf coast and better confluence as well. Surface map doesn’t reflect that but imo the 5H features aligning like they are on this run would produce colder surface and upper levels.
 
This is going to be a long week lol, full of emotional swings
 
Atleast it’s the pos GFS. Euro does that and it’s ok to find a cliff! Also the crackhead FV3 comes out soon and will spit out some junk that should lift spirits
 
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