Wintry Dec 8-10th Winter Storm

[RollTide18]

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Some nice members for Central Alabama

 

[Avalanche]

Yeah I notice that to. Looks as if the second low come little further west?

That secondary low has me a little worried. Yes, it keeps me in the duration longer, but it robs moisture and appears to edge a warm-nose into the area (knowing that is always a cause for concern with any winter system).

 

[StoneMtnWx]

Again the FV3 holds serve, and resembles the 12Z GFS from Friday.


Whenever you see a snow map with that nose down into NE Georgia, thats all IP/ZR.

Yea WXgeek soundings show IP/ZR to ZR across portions of the metro on FV3. Would probably be a very bad ice storm verbatim.

 

[Jessy89]

13 of 20 members look good for mby

 

[Avalanche]

If none of this verifies, we need to be shipped to the drought stricken areas, there will be enough tears to germinate dry ground. Heck, the tears of joy shed today will probably be suffice.

 

[sigwx]

Some nice members for Central Alabama

Yeah E9 is a winner

 

[WxWatch]

Yeah I notice that to. Looks as if the second low come little further west?

Yes, it is possible for that secondary low to trend west.

 

[Avalanche]

Yes, it is possible for that secondary low to trend west.

Yes, and it appears to be moisture starved as the parent low moves out with the bulk of the moisture. Can't wait to radar watch and nowcast.

 

[Avalanche]

First the signal, now the trend. Lets verify!!!!!

 

[whatalife]

Can’t wait to see how the midlands screw this up

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[Mitch West]

Can’t wait to see how the midlands screw this up

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Wow, stay tuned. 00z will crush our dreams my friend.

 

[WXinCanton]

Nice!!!

 

[J.C.]

FV3-18Z

 

[Snowfan]

FV3-18Z

That's the 12z not the 18z.

 

[Kylo]

As long as we don't flip these colors the next few days.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

FV3 was a Cold Air DAMN crush fest. Good model trends today guys and gals. I’m still giddy over that 12z Euro run. I mean come on. That’s rare model output

 

[MBell]

I think it's safe to say someone somewhere in our region is going to get a winter storm this coming weekend... it's been on the models for some time now. What remains to be seen is who, where and how. This will be a fun one to watch evolve this week! Absolutely insane that it's happening literally at the same time last year when some areas of Metro Atlanta got upwards of a foot or more of snow.

#LetTheFunBegin

 

[NWMSGuy]

Really would like to see a more EURO look on the GFS for Northern MS & AL.

 

[Jessy89]

I think the gfs is still trending towards the euro

 

[WxWatch]

What we could be dealing here is with the first low, some places may start out with a mix or ZR, snow or sleet changing to a cold rain (mainly for GA and upstate SC.) A lot of places across NC would remain all snow, (central NC and points west) As the secondary low develops, colder air would be in place, so, the places that went to a cold rain would transition to all snow. Places that got snow from the main low would get additional snowfall from the secondary low. Also, in the ZR/sleet zones, the snowfall amounts aren't accurate on the models because there is all sorts of p. type going on. The models are getting thrown off on the snowfall maps. With CAD events, it's better to look at accumulation maps individually for each p. type.