packfan98
Moderator
HP is noticeably weaker this run compared to 12z.
I wouldn’t be too worried about that with the low being further south. I wouldn’t start worrying about temps till 2-3 days out. It will go back and forth.Still rain in North AL and MS at hour 144 unlike 12z.
The low is too amped cause plenty WAA.
We have a good track for the low. That’s is a very good thing... I was more worried about the track then anything at this point in the game. The accumulation maps are pretty to look at and everything. But they don’t mean nothing until you really get within 3 days.I wouldn’t be too worried about that with the low being further south. I wouldn’t start worrying about temps till 2-3 days out. It will go back and forth.
The low still seem further south, cold air was lacking.. as long as we continue with the south trend on low. CAD areas will be worked out as we get closer.Easy to see why the CAD high was weaker this run, notice the s/w over Iowa at day 6 and how much more aptly timed our southern stream wave is to the backend of the preceding northern stream disturbance on the 12z run from yesterday afternoon. Details like this won't be resolved for at least a few more days but still looks good in any case for traditional CAD areas.
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View attachment 8049
Even still, a 1035 high over Pennsylvania is friggin amazing.
The low still seem further south, cold air was lacking.. as long as we continue with the south trend on low. CAD areas will be worked out as we get closer.
I was doing to say...yes it's a bit warmer than the 12z run, but I like that the high is in really good spot and the low trended a bit south as well. Also, that strength of high very early in the season....I'm sold .Easy to see why the CAD high was weaker this run, notice the s/w over Iowa at day 6 and how much more aptly timed our southern stream wave is to the backend of the preceding northern stream disturbance on the 12z run from yesterday afternoon. Details like this won't be resolved for at least a few more days but still looks good in any case for traditional CAD areas.
View attachment 8048
View attachment 8049
Even still, a 1035 high over Pennsylvania is friggin amazing.
I was doing to say...yes it's a bit warmer than the 12z run, but I like that the high is in really good spot and the low trended a bit south as well. Also, that strength of high very early in the season....I'm sold .
View attachment 8057 Clown map
Lol what happened to all the snow in AR?View attachment 8057 Clown map
I'm encouraged by the high not sliding out to sea and in a better spot. Will be interesting to see if it stays in place and gets stronger in the coming days.I’m pretty much sold for significant impacts in NC and southern VA.. the bigger question is how much does this affect cad regions of SC/GA...
Don’t know. LolLol what happened to all the snow in AR?
Just like they stole our spot in the playoffOklahoma stole it![]()
I agree 100% . I do think we have a pretty good shot at getting close to 1040mb. Would like to see a faster system for sure .Was this run a little more "amped"?The fact that less favorable shortwave interaction in the northern branch still yielded a 1035 high over PA is pretty telling, if we hit all our marks could be close to 1040 hPa which is something we used to see more frequently in the "good ol days"