Yea and the EURO and Control run does the same thing...transfers energy to the secondary low close to the Ga coast and it crawls along the coast from there. As 850s drop this puts back end snow across N Ga and places NEward.
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Wintry Dec 8-10th Winter Storm
- Thread starter SimeonNC
- Start date
Also I meant to add. Either way this storm goes. North Carolina is going to be the big winner. They have the CAD to save them.
Is there something wrong with TT maps, why isn't the p. type showing as well on the 18z GFS like what the weather nerd site is showing? Also, the timing is off.
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Snownut
Member
Jessy89
Member
Why’s this map look so different from the tropical tidbits maps?
Keep in mind the "ptype maps" on weather nerds are more "gridded" and will show the potential precipitation type "IF" there was still ample moisture. It's not 100% set in stone by any means.
For example, you see all that orange in SC even to the coast? In theory that's showing a sleet and rain mix. It's a little confusing though..
For example, you see all that orange in SC even to the coast? In theory that's showing a sleet and rain mix. It's a little confusing though..
Avalanche
Member
Don't know what to make of this low transformation. Keeps us in the duration longer, but robs us of some of the heavier precip totals.
WXinCanton
Member
That map is way lower resolution. Look at the size of the pixels. I
Jon
Member
If you’re wondering if the snow map is bogus wrt Ptype, nope. Snow liquid equivalent is 1.5-2” for many areas in Central NC. What a run. Save the 18z image....runs like these only happen every few years, even if the storm doesn’t work out.
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D-Ray
Member
always seem to do well here in the upstate with CAD
Yep, he did it! On his FB video! Said to be responsible, he had to show it , because we’d see it somewhere else! LolSays it absolutely can’t/won’t happen!
It's getting closer, come to papa.....
Closing in on 5 years, Shawn. Reel this one in.
BHS1975
Member
Wouldn’t most of that end up as sleet in Raleigh?
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Avalanche
Member
Jon posted the breakdown of Fzrn/IP/Snow
Meh, it’s gonna start as rain, that transition to anything frozen, can be painful to wait on and cut way down on snow/ice!
It's very close but keeps trending colder and this run was mostly snow, thermals appear to support that this run..... but it's Cen NC the warm nose is always lurking
Of course on his tease to commercial, he shows the 18z GFS, CJ what a bafoon!
pcbjr
Member
Good Lord, y'all ... you're on the brink of something and damn near every post is focused on what won't work ... 
WXinCanton
Member
18Z GEFS looks south of the OP