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Wintry Dec 8-10th Winter Storm

Just left a cold rain in Charlotte to come home to a cold rain in Columbia. Wish I could’ve stayed in Charlotte to see some wintry weather.
 
Are there any mitigating factors to this that wouldn’t mean lights out and a week worth of clean up? This seems so much more extreme than what any local met has discussed.....

A transition to sleet. The HREF is an upgrade to the SREF, so I am not 100% sure how well it performs. It's just kind of showing the idea the SREF has had for a couple days now. I prefer the HREF maps. I don't like the way the temps are looking for a lot of areas that are supposed to switch by late this afternoon outside the mountains, but who knows. We'll see.
 
Already ZR in the upstate? Is this that incorrect or??
swbt.gif
 
That above map is not labeled sadly. Those are Wetbulb temps.
 
Mooresville is in way better position then clt, such a tight gradient where you could go from 1-8 inches of snow
 
The mping reports suggest frozen precip is a little ahead of schedule.

Here is the hrrr. Look how much more area is frozen.

64C9AD59-FC68-4F0F-B2E7-956007B87541.gif
Nam has much less area seeing frozen right now.
E96D578A-4FC1-4353-AC01-EBADF95FC3E3.gif
Hrrr much closer to reality.
 
From a meteorologist currently in Raleigh:
48189727_10105843769246499_2252298102906028032_n.jpg
 
The hrrr certainly has everybodys attention but with strong winds aloft from the se, the nam or In between the both seem likely
 
I don't see anybody reporting from Forsyth Co, GA, which looks to be a possible demarcation zone between little to no zr and possibly a good bit. Here 5 miles NW of Cumming it's currently a rainy mess at 38.4. Winds gusting to near 20mph from the NE. Bring on the wedge!
 
Still thinking about 6 to 8 of snow here before the mix.

People living and dying with each model run are going to be dead a lot.
 
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