“It’s the long range NAM so we toss”
-will get rain and like it
-will get rain and like it
-
Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!
Wintry Dec 8-10th Winter Storm
- Thread starter SimeonNC
- Start date
12z nam snow total north miss and Alabama southern tenn in this Now.
Honestly this storm has trended colder west of the Apps that’s why we now have big totals in AR, TX, and even parts of TN and AL. So maybe as we get inside 48 hours it would start to trend colder east of Apps.
Also I would like to know if models are considering snow pack to the north.
MichaelJ
Member
Did not want to see this.
accu35
Member
- Joined
- Jan 5, 2017
- Messages
- 8,415
- Reaction score
- 9,890
I think the Nam could be right with a stronger H, very Euro like. Plus We are hours away from new samples?
Jessy89
Member
Let’s just hope gfs holds to the last run. And not warm up
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
The NAM looks like a really good setup especially for those W of 77 and N of 85 in NC. 1040 high to the north and a low tracking the gulf, textbook really.
A couple of things....I don't want to see this, and honestly somebody said it before as well this morning. The high on the NAM was a little slower in getting pushed over into good CAD region. The CAD was there, but it was a little later setting up and higher TD....Have to keep an eye on that for WNC, CNC and upstate SC....just being real...if you are outside that general area.....the front part/main part of this system is prob going to be mostly, if not all rain. That high HAS to get into a great spot..period....
Now, 1 thing that is starting to become more interesting is how that upper low is handled. I know models are going back and forth on it, but the NAM almost has a bowling ball that is going to be shoved SE over TX because of the confluence in the NE. The other energy will dive down into it as well. That is the ONLY ticket to any hope for wintry outside above mentioned areas...At least IMO for now. lets see what the goofus does.
Now, 1 thing that is starting to become more interesting is how that upper low is handled. I know models are going back and forth on it, but the NAM almost has a bowling ball that is going to be shoved SE over TX because of the confluence in the NE. The other energy will dive down into it as well. That is the ONLY ticket to any hope for wintry outside above mentioned areas...At least IMO for now. lets see what the goofus does.
Brandon10
Member
Can we PLEASE get this dang low to track ENE and not northeast to prevent the WAA into the Carolinas. UGHHHH. ENC always gets robbed.
The nam sounding as a whole for my house is pretty positive even if the surface sucks a little. That's a deep NE flow and big dry push in the typical cad layers. Would lead me to believe we might be trending toward more sleet then rain after the initial snow
Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk
Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk
I like that look for you Shane...The nam sounding as a whole for my house is pretty positive even if the surface sucks a little. That's a deep NE flow and big dry push in the typical cad layers. Would lead me to believe we might be trending toward more sleet then rain after the initial snow
Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk
DadOfJax
Member
NAM is looking like a classic overrunning situation for the mid/deep South. AR/MS/TN/AL are now right back in the middle of this...gotta love it!
Jon
Member
One thing I noticed is the energy is way more amped up and about to cutoff at 84h. NAM wants to go cazy with the s/w....s/w is also much slower than the GFS.
Yep. The NAM agrees with the Euro with regard to the high and especially the evolution of the shortwave, which is slower and closes off. THE GFS and FV3 GFS is faster and not as amped with the sortwave. At this point, the GFS continues to be an outlier.
Yeah im ok with a delayed cold push I'm not ok with a weaker cold push.
Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk
RollTide18
Member
Today’s Euro/GFS are big for areas west of the apps, based off what the NAM showed this morning.
Snownut
Member
If you are in SC, our side of Greenville, Spartanburg, pickens, and oconee, you are going to see a cold rain while those counties mentioned sees several inches of Snow/Sleet. This looks to be a classic I85 and north special.
Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk
Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk