SimeonNC
Member
That is some heavy snow near the sleet line.Real nice push of frozen precip into NE GA and SC on the latest HRRR. Quite a nice jump south and southeast compared to the last run.
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Wintry Dec 8-10th Winter Storm
- Thread starter SimeonNC
- Start date
TerryInTucker
Member
I'm at 39° in Tucker.
Yellow Snow
Member
A half million outages, whoa
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Unfortunately many of us have found out the hard way the past several years that’s often at least sleet mixed with snow on the model
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
Euro at 24 much better for upstate or SC. 850s colder everywhere.
Jessy89
Member
I’m still stuck at 40 degrees in liberty so. Until I see temps drop I’m not feeling that optimistic
Can someone post the first frame of the euro? I see a lot of people saying it was really good for the upstate.
At my location, Dew point is down to 25 from 27 2 hours ago, a degree makes a difference, also brad p just said something about dew points dropping quick
Avalanche
Member
For real??
You are a lock for 1-5-2” of frozen slop
SimeonNC
Member
Im at 28 according to TWC
Avalanche
Member
Are you up further than Ghost Town??
SimeonNC
Member
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/viewsector.php?sector=17#
I could be mistaken but 850s and 925s seemed to have warmed from the last time I checked. And on the MSL setting, there was an area of 1038 pressure around Ohio early, and now its not there.
12Z Euro not as good for the Eastern Piedmont of NC.
Ok I’m down to 39..it’s 46 in Charlotte yikes
Can someone post the euro?
Avalanche
Member
This is going to shape up to look like last December's storm isn't it??
How does it work that at my place 2 hours south of Charlotte it's only 41? I'm very intrigued by that.
SimeonNC
Member
43.9 according to my station.
I think the FV3 has a thing or 2 it needs to learn about the warm nose around here. We'll see if it gets taken to the cleaners by Dr. No.
42.7 here in Salisbury
Snownut
Member
37° some mixing in northern upstate, DP at 35
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MichaelJ
Member
41 in W-S and a DP of 22
Snowflowxxl
Member
Global models are really useless to be using at this time, stick with the short range and nowcast.
DadOfJax
Member
Cold rain in Maggie Valley....bust so far
Ima go with something between the hrrr and the nam, I just don't see CLT getting all snow from this
Cmr4407
Member
I am 1.7 miles up higher to the west of ghost town
Does someone have the Euro? I can’t view it for free on Weather.us anymore. Everything I've heard suggests it is terrible for RDU
EDIT: It's not that bad
EDIT: It's not that bad
Last edited:
Storm5
Member
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Ok, thanks, not as bad as I was expecting from the comments on here and AMWX. Still 8" for 10:1, likely 2-4" adjusted for sleet and snow-liquid ratio.
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My area near Sumter/Lee County line is 40 with dew point of 40. Winds out of ne at 5. It was to be around 45 today. Winter weather advisory as far south as Kershaw County in SC probably for the northern part of it.
Avalanche
Member
Man you are joking right? If temps aloft are warming that means CAD signature reliant winter weather, I'd assume, unless a push of CAA is on the way.
I think this one we have a better chance to actually get some measurable snow. Last December we ended up on the wrong side of the rain snow line and we got about 12 hours of 33 degree rain followed by a brief "flizzard" at the end. RDU (except maybe the northwestern part of the Triangle) got virtually no accumulation whatsoever. It looks like with this one we will see about 6-9 hours of wet snow or perhaps snow/sleet mix. I'm not very bullish on totals but 1-2" of snow/sleet mix still seems likely IMO. I noticed NWS RAH cut back on their prediction from 4-8" to 2-4" today.
Cmr4407
Member
If you Drive to 7952 soco Rd it is a gift shop it's at 4171 in elevation their is a little over an inch of snow on the ground right now.
SimeonNC
Member
This seems omnious
I can report moderate snow from the Sierra Nevada Brewing, for a couple hours now. It is still to warm to stick.
Yeah. That’s literally right up the road from the valley. You should climb the lookout tower and film a video. Post it here. Or better yet ride down the other side of the mountain and go play some blackjack at Harrahs
.31 rainfall so far. Thank god for El Niño :weenie:
Cmr4407
Member
It is really foggy here
Kylo
Member
18z RAP is nice. The RAP and HRRR did a great job in 2017 of modeling rain for the triangle.
