Could be their biggest storm on record.It's possible some areas in Asheville, NC could receive 2 feet of snow.
Could be their biggest storm on record.It's possible some areas in Asheville, NC could receive 2 feet of snow.
Show we be using short range models or global?
Show we be using short range models or global?
Wow I don't think i ever seen more than 4 inches of snow in my life time... I think I need to tell my mom there the information I'm getting from y'all... 24 inches Jesus umm I need my cameraIt's possible some areas in Asheville, NC could receive 2 feet of snow.
does anyone have the euro snowfall map
Here it is. I’m not to sure but northern Tennessee seems to have improved a bit onto nights model runs. Thanks
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You missed Feb. of 2010 or December of 2010?
Oh yeah, the infamous I-20 special from Dallas to the Carolina coast. I don't think I've enjoyed a snowstorm as much since that one.
Thanks Shawn. That's what I was looking for. Would be great if we could get that HP stronger and in a favorable spot. As well as the SLP being further south than what has been shown thus far. Wish it'd go down to Tampa area.As of 03z, 1037mbView attachment 8878 , low is about to get going.
Jesus Christ is that's true because my mom there told me the weather forecasters there were only calling for 3 to 5 inches wow I'm only going to be in Asheville for 4 days
Wow trending colder and colder. The northern midlands, and Columbia places that forecaster said just cold rain, need to pay more attention
I’m telling y’all, earlier precip arrival is not good, especially those on the fringes. If the cold air for snow isn’t arriving till early Sunday morning ( Upstate Sc) and the heavy precip is over, then you know how it goes! My DP is currently 32 and winds out of the South ! The wedge seems quite a ways off!
The speeding up of the storm and precip breaking out now, is very bad for people wanting snow and ice! I don’t think the models are showing ice or snow developing until 4-6 AM Sunday morning! Would suck for precip to already be done.
I'm on my way to Asheville now visiting family I'm definitely going to try and take picsI'm in Asheville wasted for a bachelor party, I'll take pics.
Yeah I'm glad too I never been this much excited about seeing snow everWell I think you picked the perfect time to go there. I've been hearing 10 to 20 inch range for them all along.
I'm on my way to Asheville now visiting family I'm definitely going to try and take pics
Yeah I'm glad too I never been this much excited about seeing snow ever
I want to see that too! Last 6” + snow I saw was March 1 2009. 8” of pasteI think you said in an earlier post that 4 inches is the most you'd ever seen. You're in for a treat. Once you get past around 6 inches of snow, it's hard to explain the awesomeness of it compared to only a 3 or 4 inch storm. You'll see.
Is that map filtered or not?
There's also this tidbitWith the cool sfc temps from the CAD and near isothermal profile
aloft hovering near freezing through 600mb, initial round of
heavy precip may fall as sleet or snow mainly over higher
elevations of northeast GA this afternoon and evening. As warm
conveyer belt increases tonight, warm nose aloft warms to +2-4C
while sfc temps drop to or just below freezing. While GFS and EC
guidance, which handle CAD events poorly compared with hires CAMs,
were a little warmer, have carefully chosen sfc temp and dewpoint
guidance weighted toward CAMs and MDL National Blend of Models,
which has high weight of CAMs in first 24 hours of forecast.
Statistical and bias-corrected forecasts were much too warm and
handle rare, fast-changing events like this poorly and were not
used. Based on these sfc temps, p-types and snow/ice accumulations
were derived from top-down methodology and local studies, which were
then compared against and nudged by WPC Winter Weather Desk guidance
for a sanity check and better inter-WFO consistency. Results of
these forecasts used to drive winter storm warning and advisory
timing and areas. Appreciate coordination from WPC and surrounding
WFOs.
Funny they are are saying their forecast is likely to bust.Feel greatest winter impact will be ice accumulation after
midnight tonight through mid-morning Sunday. This could occur in
both the higher elevations and in lower elevation areas affected by
the CAD over northeast GA. With such impressive vertical motion and
high QPF, if sfc temperatures go below forecast values (which is as
mentioned above, already weighted toward cooler CAM guidance), both
ice and snow accumulations could go significantly higher than
forecast. Likewise, if temps go a couple degrees warmer than
forecast, will mainly see a heavy rain event with limited winter
weather impacts. If there is one bright spot, its that many
businesses and most schools will be off during this event.
....
Will also have some windy conditions this afternoon and tonight as
pressure gradient between strong sfc low over south GA and CAD
wedge. This strong sfc low and winds are a little atypical for
winter CAD events here, so a little more concerned about the overall
strength and potential of this system. Bust potential is high on
both the low and high side!
Is that map filtered or not?
Also, FFC took a reasonable approach calling the global models garbage handling the CAD areas and used studies from local areas to develop their latest forecasts and call the advisories.
There's also this tidbit
Funny they are are saying their forecast is likely to bust.
Here's pivotal's snow, or should I say "Snow and Sleet" Depth.I believe so, but not 100% sure. Just to compare, this site doesn't factor in frzn as snow, that I know, I don't know about sleet.
View attachment 8887
Is that map filtered or not?
Also, FFC took a reasonable approach calling the global models garbage handling the CAD areas and used studies from local areas to develop their latest forecasts and call the advisories.
There's also this tidbit
Funny they are are saying their forecast is likely to bust.