Oriented more east to west is much more preferable than SW to NE.GFS was much better for RDU.
Oriented more east to west is much more preferable than SW to NE.GFS was much better for RDU.
Interesting that they mention the WRF....
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
945 PM EST Fri Dec 7 2018
.UPDATE...
Main adjustment this evening was to expand the Winter Storm Watch
farther west and south given growing concern for some freezing
rain accumulations in a strengthening wedge Saturday night into
Sunday. This was based on some higher resolution guidance
advecting the subfreezing low level temps/wetbulbs farther into
the area, including the local WRF which has resolved past wedges
quite well. There is still much uncertainty with temps, timing,
and amount of moisture but the fact that models which typically
perform better with the local terrain and smaller scale
microphysical processes are bringing in some freezing rain mainly
north of the I-20 corridor and impinging into the far northeast
Atlanta metro was justification enough to expand. Also even higher
snow totals could be realized in the NE mountains. The watch area
could be upgraded to either a Warning or Advisory in future
updates so please watch for any changes. Previous discussion
follows.
Baker
https://forecast.weather.gov/produc...FC&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1
As I posted before today, I still think that ZR has a good chance to make it to ATL, itself, due to them having 850s under +5C for much of the precip. This is based on looking at 850s for storms with good wedging going back about 70 years. This could end up being a real doozy there.
Interested in the WRF tonight
Don't know. Was going to ask. LolWhat time does the WRF run??
@Tarheel1 maybe we can wish this into existence so we get 6” like Brick?View attachment 8867
Yes. Euro/Ukie showed the snowline shifting south for a period of time as well. I guess it’s possible. Probable, no, but this is why we trackThat appears to have the best snow coverage south of 85 in the upstate to date, correct?
That’s a beautiful map!
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Give it a break, seriously. You guys are more annoying mocking the guy than any of his posts.@Tarheel1 maybe we can wish this into existence so we get 6” like Brick?View attachment 8867
debatableGive it a break, seriously. You guys are more annoying mocking the guy than any of his posts.
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Can wait to see itFV3 larger for SC and NC. Will have a map soon
Im a golf cart ride away from lake James. Hope you enjoy your time here!Leaving Alabama @ 0700 tomorrow and headed up. Lake James is my target area. Will hopefully have good photos and videos to post!
I never said anything like that....@SD does this mean I’m not eligible me for 12 days of Christmas giveaways anymore?![]()
We are going to at least get ice down here I think if not even a shot at 2-4 inches of snow. IF this pattern can hang on all winter long all of us will be very happy I think. I really hope it's sleet instead of ZR if it can't be snow though. The .50 or more of ice WYFF weatherman John Cessarich thinks we may get here is kind of scary.Give it a break, seriously. You guys are more annoying mocking the guy than any of his posts.
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@SD does this mean I’m not eligible me for 12 days of Christmas giveaways anymore?![]()
You won. Sorry had too. LolI never said anything like that....
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Gonna be funny when we get more accumulation than Brick!@Tarheel1 maybe we can wish this into existence so we get 6” like Brick?View attachment 8867
Im a golf cart ride away from lake James. Hope you enjoy your time here!
Yeah .5 of ice is a bad day. I don't think it's impossible someone on the southern edge of the wedge can push a zr total that high.We are going to at least get ice down here I think if not even a shot at 2-4 inches of snow. IF this pattern can hang on all winter long all of us will be very happy I think. I really hope it's sleet instead of ZR if it can't be snow though. The .50 or more of ice WYFF weatherman John Cessarich thinks we may get here is kind of scary.
When does the wrf startI will wait for the WRF to run and then i'm done for the night. Stayed up for the Euro the past five nights, might still be awake for it but dont believe it is the model of choice this close.
I have no idea. nobody seems to know lolWhen does the wrf start