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Wintry Dec 8-10th Winter Storm

Wow another night of disappointing 0z model runs.
0z Gfs: Shift low north
0z CMC: shift south ( but still warm)
0z Fv3 Gfs: Shift North
0z Gefs: Shift low north
0z Euro: Only god knows at this point.
Honestly you guys, models are coming into agreement of mostly a NC and VA special with Cad areas of SC (Upstate)
I’m not trying to be negative you guys I want Board wide event for us all.
 
In general, models are still looking ok for my area but have trended to more zr which is not good
 
Sorry for the connection issues guys, I am not sure if it's the server's bandwidth or too many connections on our end.

I disabled the service and pushed an emergency upgrade to our database to hopefully alleviate some of the issues.
 
36692b3909c7a2e99eafeeb544ec6160.jpg


No major changes FV3


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
FV3 should be used with caution in my opinion. It has seemed worse than GFS during the past 6 months but I don't have any statistics on accuracy or mae.

FV3 Scores are actually better then GFS. Here are some verifcation scores taken from another weather forum.
1.png 4.png 5.png 2.png 3.png
 
Looks slower to me and the high is positioned a little south...not sure of the ramifications
 
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