Wintry Dec 8-10th Winter Storm

[accu35]

I'll ride the CMC FWIW

 

[Snowfan]

CMC looks WAY better tonight.

 

[Kylo]

I thought it was a pretty good run of the GFS, front end snow, yeah it gets washed away but for Dec 9th...not to bad.

 

[TheBatman]

I thought it was a pretty good run of the GFS, front end snow, yeah it gets washed away but for Dec 9th...not to bad.

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I wouldn’t be too worried. I think the models are under doing the high pressure. Just think if it was 2-3 mb stronger. No worries.

 

[Kylo]

I'll ride the CMC FWIW

Snow distribution looks similar to GFS. Starting to get some agreement maybe.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Oooff if that radar was to verify that would be a good front snow thump to a horrible ice storm for my area

 

[TheBatman]

Gfs little brother is out to 36 hours now. Let’s see what he says here in a few mins.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Let’s be honest 00z runs are less than ideal so far. When you’re hugging he 84 hr NAM, it’s time to re-evaluate your expectations. Tonight’s Euro is gonna be a heart breaker for those already on the fringe. If you have the means, head towards Banner Elk this weekend. You won’t lose there

I’ll bet this is gonna be the first time in a lot of runs, the gfs ensembles or mean, don’t even touch SC!

yeah we’ll be in the first blue color this run. By tomorrow night we’ll be in the grey. By Friday we’ll be hoping for a freak ULL like everyone to our south! Just make sure your gutters are clean of leafs and debris before Saturday. It’s gonna be a gully washer

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Zr for 24 hours is a nightmare

 

[Kylo]

I wouldn’t be too worried. I think the models are under doing the high pressure. Just think if it was 2-3 mb stronger. No worries.

HP erodes quickly, low up in SE Canada. Euro doesn't have that....who knows who is right.

 

[accu35]

Like Charlie mention before still days away for this storm and many more changes are coming. Maybe not for my area, but I'm hoping and praying for the ULL to do well for my northern peeps in Bama

 

[Fountainguy97]

Fv3 which is the more reliable gfs and it continues the trend

This is a great trend.

 

[scroback]

Let’s be hones 00z runs are less than ideal so far. When you’re hugging he 84 hr NAM, it’s time to re-evaluate your expectations. Tonight’s Euro is gonna be a heart breaker for those already on the fringe. If you have the means, head towards Banner Elk this weekend. You won’t lose there

yeah we’ll be in the first blue color this run. By tomorrow night we’ll be in the grey. By Friday we’ll be hoping for a freak ULL like everyone to our south! Just make sure your gutters are clean of leafs and debris before Saturday. It’s gonna be a gully washer

I think everyone's snow hopes are way to high. But given the CAD strength (that's already pretty significant and its being under modeled), sleet and ZR will be much more widespread than what's depicted on nwp ptypes

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[Jimmy Hypocracy]

But the 12z Euro said I had a 90% chance of seeing an inch of snow this weekend I want my money back!

 

[Kylo]

You can see why CMC improved.

 

[Snowflowxxl]

850s look a bit improved on the FV3 at 96. Low maybe a tic north

 

[TheBatman]

850s look a bit improved on the FV3 at 96. Low maybe a tic north

Yea it does. Wish the low was down in the gulf itself. Over southern LA..

It went due north from hour 90. Lol

 

[bouncycorn]

Looking good folks

 

[accu35]

Looking good folks

Welcome back

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Now the model will prolly get stuck for 20 minutes