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Wintry Dec 8-10th Winter Storm

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It looks like it's going to slip OTS but man...getting closer and closer to being a good storm for the MA...sucks.
 
I know this is long range nam when I am showing hour 84. But you can’t help too noticed that the dew points are 10-15 difference between the nam and gfs. This just backs up what I was saying just a few degrees can make a big difference.

GFS dew points 84 hours
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NAM dew points 84 hours
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GFS has been bouncing around run to run with 50/50 low. This run it lifts a little quicker and is weaker.

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Also, EPS holds it longer and is stronger. Just based on past history these do tend to want to lift out as we get inside 72 hours. Though, I like the GFS run, we get some front end snow with the overrunning while the cold is established.

EPS v/s GFS
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Damn finally closed . Just need it to close off a little sooner for some to get a nice little surprise
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