• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Wintry Dec 8-10th Winter Storm

Winter storm watch now up for me. Not looking for a lot of snow here, but ice may be another story. If the CAD is strong enough I see no way to avoid getting a ton of freezing rain out of it. If it isn't that strong this will be a rain event for most of upstate SC. Instinct tells me to go with having enough CAD to get ice down here though. Most snow in SC will fall where it fell last Dec with the best of it in northern Greenville and Spartanburg counties.
 
Nam further SE with frozen precip this run
namconus_ref_frzn_seus_38.png
 
NAM gives me 11 inches of pure snow, of course it's lower due to low ratio and initial melting but way better run for many
 
I'm really starting to think that when models show central NC flip to rain it's really more of a drizzle. I've seen countless times where you go from heavy snow to sleet and when the rates drop you get a light drizzle. That looks like the case this run. Once we lose the rates we lose frozen precip... in reality it could just be precip cuts off and lingers slightly as the low pulls away
 
Parts of upstate get 5" of snow with 5" sleet, yeah buddy this is going to be a wild ride.

Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk
 
Cary_Snow95 said:
I'm really starting to think that when models show central NC flip to rain it's really more of a drizzle. I've seen countless times where you go from heavy snow to sleet and when the rates drop you get a light drizzle. That looks like the case this run. Once we lose the rates we lose frozen precip... in reality it could just be precip cuts off and lingers slightly as the low pulls away
Click to expand...
RAH seems to agree and says after snow/sleet it tapers to maybe a drizzle.
 
3km looks the the same story, impressive dynamical cooling and boom goes the snow bomb, kinda like what happened in the northeast a few week's ago
 
And there you go, the NAM gets better. And matches up pretty much with the Euro and FV3.
 
metwannabe said:
I'm good as long as it doesn't shift 1 mile north, 0 wiggle room

Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk
Click to expand...
I’m going to look at a map. Maybe I’m not in as bad shape as I think.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top