Wintry Dec 8-10th Winter Storm

[Snowfan]

At what point will we begin to see the ULL on the NAM?

Friday

 

[olhausen]

Going to go ahead and say it. Storm of the century totals will be rivalved and smashed for many locations in WNC. This one will be the new benchmark of all time esp west of i77.

yikes! I still think people need to temper their expectations this far out. This is the south and no matter how good the models look things can and do go wrong with winter weather. I’m not saying this won’t be a big winter storm but I see a lot of posters acting as if this is set in stone already.

 

[Cad Wedge NC]

KK going with 1-2” Greenville area, no road issues at all!

That may be possible, but if the models keep trending south and colder, her forecast will be in big trouble.

 

[SimeonNC]

I agree. This is going to rival the Storm of the Century (1993) in many areas.

I mean in CLT it won't be hard at all to beat 1993, from the winter storm database there wasn't much snow here at all.

 

[Snowfan]

ICON continues with the south trend and the high is 1 mb stronger.

 

[SoutheastRidge]

yikes! I still think people need to temper their expectations this far out. This is the south and no matter how good the models look things can and do go wrong with winter weather. I’m not saying this won’t be a big winter storm but I see a lot of posters acting as if this is set in stone already.

The NC mtns are only south in latitude. They have a climate more similar to New England.

 

[Snowflowxxl]

ICON coming in colder

 

[TheBatman]

Also the models should start coming together a little better starting 24 hours from now once our wave gets sampled.

 

[Round Oak Weather]

Gonna come out of my one day break to say this if the ULL continues to come better in the back half of the storm I think another March 2009 is not out of the books for parts of Georgia.

 

[Stormlover]

0z NAM vs 18z GFS .spot the BIG difference?? View attachment 8337 View attachment 8338

Wow, that is a huge change

 

[BirdManDoomW]

That wasn’t excitement. That’s a warning. Prepare now for 1-2 week survival in the MTNS and Foothills. A large area of 2-3 feet of snow could mean air supply drops for Boone, Sparta and West Jefferson. The consistency in the EURO is dangerous at this stage and range.

 

[TheBatman]

@Brent you should be excited. It nam getting closed to you. You could be Nam’d..

 

[RollTide18]

Gonna come out of my one day break to say this if the ULL continues to come better in the back half of the storm I think another March 2009 is not out of the books for parts of Georgia.

Was a good one for Alabama as well, that ULL moved SE & then NE through Georgia I believe

[

 

[TheBatman]

0z NAM vs 18z GFS .spot the BIG difference?? View attachment 8337 View attachment 8338

Even north miss, ala and ga. Have dew points in the 20’s. Vs the gfs. You would think that would be a good thing for all 3 states.

 

[Tarheel1]

did she mention I-85?

No. Very general, said lots of rain Sunday

 

[Snowflowxxl]

NC gets snow on this run on the ICON. Backside looks healthy as well but a tad warm

 

[Kylo]

Icon is impressive

 

[Cary_Snow95]

18z

00z

 

[Weatherlover92]

Its obviously not gonna be snow for ATL area. I could see a scenario if everything lines up correctly where we get alot of ice or sleet and then transition to snow in the last bit.

I've gone from unconcerned to cautiously optimistic the past couple of days. I could see this being a February 11-13, 2014 repeat here. So basically a sleetfest with a little bit of ice and possibly backend snow if the ULL works out for us. I'll call that success if somehow it happens. It's pretty funny how very close the 12z EURO was to showing an icy mess here when you look at 850/925mb temps, 2m temps, etc. If the 00z EURO comes in a degree or two colder in those thermal profiles we might be in trouble.

 

[NWMSGuy]

Even north miss, ala and ga. Have dew points in the 20’s. Vs the gfs. You would think that would be a good thing for all 3 states.

Since I’m not sure, how could this help us?