Almost 12 hour frontend thump though....
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Wintry Dec 8-10th Winter Storm
- Thread starter SimeonNC
- Start date
Kylo
Member
GFS was supressed but so was QPF. Still, solid run.
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Yeah, that is a lot better.
Cary_Snow95
Member
18z
00z
00z
You can even tell by liquid total precipitation map that there was more suppression with this run, also slightly faster
I’m good with 7.5 Kucarachas.
Looks to me like a shift south on the GFS. looks colder as well.
Honestly I'm thrilled with that, if I'm not gonna pick up historic snow I don't want 2-3" of rain (I don't need it) lol
Snownut
Member
Models starting to pickup on it being colder right here close to go time.
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Remember that nearly 3” qpf they had in here a few runs ago? Boy, those were the days, huh?
Well dang. Looks like snowfall totals were cut down.
Better data in the 0z models? Anybody??
Kylo
Member
And this is the CMC qpf
Jessy89
Member
I hope that translates to a little more snow for us
I would think so. Plus our wave(low) is on shore now and getting sampled (data analyzed).
Snowflowxxl
Member
too warm for snow on the backside for GA
WXinCanton
Member
Flizzard cancel
You just wait until the gfs fuquay varina 3 runs
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Welcome to the Deep South winter. LMAO
Folks, the EURO and ensembles have been rock steady. Some of you can take the GFS op whining to the banter please. Don’t live and die by every GFS op run like some have been doing for over a week.
Cmc lp jumped north a frame yet looked the same, perhaps better than the 12z
bud006
Member
The 0Z GFS really reduces the winter weather impact for Northeast Georgia outside of the mountains. You could not have a more different look from the 0Z NAM and the 0Z GFS.
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ATLwxfan
Member
Welcome to early December with normal high temps in the mid 50’s.
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Snowflowxxl
Member
Going by the Surface analysis map from NOAA, the only model I've seen close to matching what it shows for 00z Fri timestamp is NAVGEM when it comes to the strength/location of our HP. It's 1034mb and sitting along the Nebraska/Iowa border. Our southern s/w is 1009mb, 18z FV3-GFS is matching it to a tee in strength/location for 00z Fri. It may or may not mean anything in the long run, but I thought it was worth mentioning anyway.
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/html/sfc-zoom.php
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/html/sfc-zoom.php
ARW is south and drier
But even in Jan avg high temps are in the 50s
The 18z Euro and 18z FV3 GFS are in lockstep. EPS is right there in agreement with them as well.
Kylo
Member
UK looks a little SE off the coast at hour 72 than it’s 12z run. FV ticked SE a hair too.
Yeah I only get 2.75” of rain now
I was hoping for a 3.25” lollipop over mine and Mack’s house
Showmeyourtds
Member
I’m expecting like 15 pingers and a flake or 2 on Monday AM in Decatur. These damn FV3 & NAM runs are gonna rustle some jimmies for folks down here in the city of Atlanta, but it ain’t gonna happen. I know these wedgies can creep down into the Hooch valley, but I just don’t see this edge making it west of the connector in mid town AT BEST.
Jessy89
Member
Your saying noYeah I only get 2.75” of rain now
ATLwxfan
Member
True. Hence snowfall being scarce here. If the NAM delivers on a few flakes, I’ll be happy.
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Yeah I only get 2.75” of rain now
Where's Mack ???
Cary_Snow95
Member
Yeah seems like there's a trend to move it more ots rather than bending the coast line. Certainly good for Central NC peeps