Euro is now seeing the cold air with CAD being stronger than previous runs.
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Wintry Dec 8-10th Winter Storm
- Thread starter SimeonNC
- Start date
Heck yeah! Slid east just a touch.... shoot it ain't 30" but I'd be happier than a hog eatin' slop to get 3". Hope you guys get crushed, there's a metwannabe special lurking out there later this winter
Avalanche
Member
Yeah I saw Chatham with 8 and Wake with 4-6. Go to Guilford......a foot!!!! Just an hour drive.
Avalanche
Member
Met you're really not far. Person county (as always) loaded up. They are only roughly and hour or so from you right?
If thats the snowfall map, how could we see the Ice and Sleet which should be even further south right???
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Looks like a better run overall, with more snow falling farther east in NC.
That's about right but let's face it in the Winter, Person County might as well be a day away Lol.... but tbh it's good trends and looking like a major winter storm for a good number on here, what a heckuva way to kick off this Winter
Euro is ok
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B
Brick Tamland
Guest
This is starting to remind me of the Christmas 2010 snow storm.
Brandon10
Member
I wish. That one had snow all the way to the coastline.
snowlover91
Member
Solid trends today with the models. The key component that could really help (or hurt) folks out in Central NC hoping to see some snow is the late phasing shown by the Euro and UK models. This changes the rain back to snow and gives a few inches to areas like Wake County. However, the negative of this is if the phasing ends up quicker this will cut and then even Western NC will see the heavy snowfall zone narrow. A very complex setup that we probably won't have a good handle on until Thursday afternoon at the earliest.
whatalife
Moderator
It’s going to be nice when this wave is sampled. I cannot imagine this southward trend continuing much longer.
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Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Definitely worried a threat for ZR could sneak up on you and the Atlanta folks at the last second if this CAD high is really as strong as modeled.
TerryInTucker
Member
Just a little further south and west, please.
Avalanche
Member
Yeah this latest run probably depicted the best possible scenario for central NC. Margin of error much safer for western Triad on further.
I have no knowledge, just experience, but this is exactly how things have played out in the past.
@WXinCanton Ellijay is right on the gradient according to the EURO clown ,map. Showing 4" here, 15" only 15 miles to my east and nothing 15 miles to my west. Getting closer today though!
Everyone in SW of Carolinas are pulling for one of 2 things...Just a little further south and west, please.
1. Colder 850 and surfact temps then modeled by 2-3 degrees and timing
or
2. A true ULL developing on the southern end of that storm
Plenty of time on the clock to see where it goes
snowlover91
Member
Best scenario would be this Euro track but no or even later phasing for Central and Eastern NC. Usually in phasing setups though they often phase a bit quicker than modeled so this phasing being modeled by the UK and Euro is concerning IMO. The 850s start out colder but would quickly change most folks to rain or ice depending on actual surface temps if we see quicker phasing. A fine line we are walking here. Western NC looks like the place to be for a few feet of snow.