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Pattern Dazzling December

SNOWMANN said:
The thing is this has support from ensembles. Yess it's just one run and will change. But where in the wheelhouse now. Like you said get the euro on board and it's game on.
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I'm not sure the GFS has a wheelhouse lol

Big picture, it *appears* we have all that we need to build at least one good SE snowstorm. Now, it's time to just sit back and see if the Grinch shows up and takes our stuff away. If not, then it's just going to be a matter of figuring out where the mix line sets up. Either way, it's a pretty awesome place to be headed into Christmas.

That was an epic, epic run...one to be enjoyed for at least the next 30 minutes lol
 
iGRXY said:
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GEFS looks like it's also going to support the multi system possibility with a nice western ridge and energy building in the SW. Those 850's are some of the coldest I've seen around here.
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Definitely looks like it’s gonna bite.
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
On a completely diff note, we’re gonna start putting lots of pressure on the SPV with the jet extension, especially with lower highs over the Aleutian Islands and Bering sea, and as HM mentioned on Twitter, another round of +SCAND/urals High, this is a SPV killing pattern, we’re increasing the chances of some sort of warming event in jan by doing this
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Gfs verefies. It can do what it wants in Jan,rest of winter .
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
This is the weenie look @Ollie Williams was aiming for, just need more lower heights in the Atlantic View attachment 126654
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We really don't because higher heights allow the wave to tilt positively. The SE Canada vortex moving out with the first wave is perfect IMO. All we need is the ridge over the west coast and in central Canada to trend stronger to allow our wave to dig more.
 
Rain Cold said:
I'm not sure the GFS has a wheelhouse lol

Big picture, it *appears* we have all that we need to build at least one good SE snowstorm. Now, it's time to just sit back and see if the Grinch shows up and takes our stuff away. If not, then it's just going to be a matter of figuring out where the mix line sets up. Either way, it's a pretty awesome place to be headed into Christmas.

That was an epic, epic run...one to be enjoyed for at least the next 30 minutes lol
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Well I'll put it this way I pay a lot more attention under 200 hours. We're definitely in the period where it will start to show hints of what's possible next week that's a better way of putting it.
 
griteater said:
12z UKMET is going with a massive cutter in the central U.S. I would say don’t shoot the messenger, but, there really is no way that you can shoot me

View attachment 126659

View attachment 126660
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I have to ask, can you ever think of a time when a storm has caved to the UKMET? I know it has good verification scores, but I can only think of multiple times where it's been an outlier and the last to cave.
 
Ollie Williams said:
I have to ask, can you ever think of a time when a storm has caved to the UKMET? I know it has good verification scores, but I can only think of multiple times where it's been an outlier and the last to cave.
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It's lead the way on some storms but usually had some of model supporting as well. But I have seen it be the last to jump on board certain storms
 
Ollie Williams said:
I have to ask, can you ever think of a time when a storm has caved to the UKMET? I know it has good verification scores, but I can only think of multiple times where it's been an outlier and the last to cave.
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Yeah. the hurricane named IAN last year. It did GREAT with it.
 
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