This B.C ridge is thiccccc 
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Pattern Dazzling December
- Thread starter Rain Cold
- Start date
CAD folks.. intepret this how you wish
Yeah, you may be there when the high-res models get in range
griteater
Member
Trend loop of last 4 GFS runs for Dec 16th. We are headed south boys and girls. Closed high along the W Canada coastline - my personal favorite.
The W Atl ridge is caving as the 2 waves are getting closer together. They need to just kiss and make up and get it on, and we'd all be in good shape
The W Atl ridge is caving as the 2 waves are getting closer together. They need to just kiss and make up and get it on, and we'd all be in good shape
A loaded bigstick10 diaper type pattern, so much potential 
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
Seen this movie a few times.
Normally the table setter doesn’t produce but we’re really not far away from trending to something, typically models have a tendency to shorten wavelengths under blocks and shove energy South closer to go time under blocky patternsTrend loop of last 4 GFS runs. We are headed south boys and girls. Closed high along the W Canada coastline - my personal favorite.
The W Atl ridge is caving as the 2 waves are getting closer together. They need to just kiss and make up and get on and we'd all be in good shape
griteater
Member
Oh, I'm just referring to the period after
Uh oh that’s a big boy trending high pressure coming in hot (or cold ?)
Just your everyday 1051 high! Looks toasty!
Not adding a lot by saying this but we’ve got a lot of work to do if that 16th time period is going to produce anything for us. Mountains could manage something after it swings through but a bombing low that far north inside 160hr is a tall task. Opportunity comes after that.
I mean you can’t get better than this usually.. a deep layer of dry cold (not overwhelming in strength but strong enough to lay the ground work for a mystery box surprise) with low pressure trying to run up under it soon.. recipe for a wintry mess for someone 
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
I feel like a kid in a candy store looking at these new 12z EPS + GEFS + GEPS ensemble clusters.
Pick your favorite. Mine is personally cluster #2 modernweenie
Pick your favorite. Mine is personally cluster #2 modernweenie
Don’t be disheartened by the rain look on the gfs .. the trend has been for everything to adjust south including the cold push per the SNE system coming up shortly. I expect this to happen down the road too.. let’s watch ensembles more than we watch operationals right now!
That severe threat around the 21st looks ominous! 
This run of the GFS is a disaster if you want snow or sustained cold for the majority of the SE. Fortunately, it's the GFS.
Agreed…that storm sets the table for potential goodies that come after it. That being said, there are definitely clear trends that show the potential is there for at least some onset icing for the NW NC Piedmont, Foothills and up into VA. Also the back side looks to possibly set up a good NW flow snow event for the mountains
If this model is so bad, why is it still used. Why not just get rid of it.
Flotown
Member
not posted in a while...checkin in from nortwest alabama...like our chances in the next 3 weeks especily further west u go