Yeah, you may be there when the high-res models get in rangeView attachment 125157
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I don’t think it’s wild to say I could see some snow from this. If trends continue of course
Seen this movie a few times.
Normally the table setter doesn’t produce but we’re really not far away from trending to something, typically models have a tendency to shorten wavelengths under blocks and shove energy South closer to go time under blocky patternsTrend loop of last 4 GFS runs. We are headed south boys and girls. Closed high along the W Canada coastline - my personal favorite.
The W Atl ridge is caving as the 2 waves are getting closer together. They need to just kiss and make up and get on and we'd all be in good shape
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Oh, I'm just referring to the period afterNormally the table setter doesn’t produce but we’re really not far away from trending to something, typically models have a tendency to shorten wavelengths under blocks and shove energy South closer to go time under blocky patterns
Just your everyday 1051 high! Looks toasty!Uh oh that’s a big boy trending high pressure coming in hot (or cold ?)View attachment 125164
This run of the GFS is a disaster if you want snow or sustained cold for the majority of the SE. Fortunately, it's the GFS.Don’t be disheartened by the rain look on the gfs .. the trend has been for everything to adjust south including the cold push per the SNE system coming up shortly. I expect this to happen down the road too.. let’s watch ensembles more than we watch operationals right now!
Agreed…that storm sets the table for potential goodies that come after it. That being said, there are definitely clear trends that show the potential is there for at least some onset icing for the NW NC Piedmont, Foothills and up into VA. Also the back side looks to possibly set up a good NW flow snow event for the mountainsNot adding a lot by saying this but we’ve got a lot of work to do if that 16th time period is going to produce anything for us. Mountains could manage something after it swings through but a bombing low that far north inside 160hr is a tall task. Opportunity comes after that.
If this model is so bad, why is it still used. Why not just get rid of it.This run of the GFS is a disaster if you want snow or sustained cold for the majority of the SE. Fortunately, it's the GFS.