Pattern Dazzling December

[Snowfan]

Does the monster low in the Plains early next week, shuffle up the pattern and make it more favorable?? Looks like a storm of that caliber, may have been what the models were missing and or making for the wild run to run swings?

It is the tablesetter that starts up the pattern change.

 

[Chazwin]

Does the monster low in the Plains early next week, shuffle up the pattern and make it more favorable?? Looks like a storm of that caliber, may have been what the models were missing and or making for the wild run to run swings?

I believe it is. It cuts across the Plains and through the Ohio Valley and then helps to set up the 50/50 low

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Weenie EPS run incoming

 

[griteater]

You need a little ridge to take suppression off the table for a good storm in the SE. It’s a razor fine line!

I don't even have the word 'suppression' in my vocabulary. You could have lows tracking from Mexico City to Havana, and it wouldn't bother me a bit. Give me all the cold you got. We'll find some moisture in that Gulf

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Coldest EPS run yet around day 8-9

 

[NCSNOW]

?View attachment 125135

I week from midnight tonight. Its happening

 

[SD]

Coldest EPS run yet around day 8-9 View attachment 125140

east based -nao and SER will do that for you.

In all seriousness the upcoming pattern might not hold for a long duration but it's got money printing potential as far cold and/snow

 

[Myfrotho704_]

This H5 look is up there with some big ice events across CAD regions

 

[SD]

This H5 look is up there with some big ice events across CAD regions View attachment 125141View attachment 125142

If you play your cards right here you send energy out of the SW shear it while bringing secondary energy out of the arctic and you can theoretically get a similar result to Dec 2010

 

[AJ1013]

12z Euro has 2” of snow in downtown Tucson on Monday!

 

[whatalife]

I know it’s the surface map and the euro control gives you two systems.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

I know it’s the surface map and the euro control gives you two systems. View attachment 125143

The Shane method as he stated

 

[Chazwin]

I know it’s the surface map and the euro control gives you two systems. View attachment 125143

That high over the eastern Great Lakes pumping down cold from what should be a decent snowpack, weak low along the Gulf Coast.. can you say overrunning?

 

[JHS]

I believe it is. It cuts across the Plains and through the Ohio Valley and then helps to set up the 50/50 low

This kind of reminds me of the big pattern changing storms of November of 1989 and again in 2010. Both had lots of rain and the 1989 event was a major severe outbreak. Next week should have severe with it too but not in the CAD areas.

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

I know it’s the surface map and the euro control gives you two systems. View attachment 125143

If this pattern gets established the south has the best chance it could probably ever have at getting an actual white Christmas. Or maybe an icy one

 

[Chazwin]

This kind of reminds me of the big pattern changing storms of November of 1989 and again in 2010. Both had lots of rain and the 1989 event was a major severe outbreak. Next week should have severe with it too but not in the CAD areas.

Those are both years that I’ve seen similarities in the models to those patterns.

 

[JHS]

If you play your cards right here you send energy out of the SW shear it while bringing secondary energy out of the arctic and you can theoretically get a similar result to Dec 2010

It's possible I guess that we get the latter of Dec to be a lot like 1989 too. That big storm right before Christmas though would leave most of us if we got another low to take that same track. Wilmington got down to 0 one morning after that big storm. Only cirrus cloud cover kept many other places going that low.

 

[SENC]

For those interested & mentioning 1989..

Christmas Coastal Snowstorm: December 22-24, 1989

Synoptic Overview

Christmas Snowstorm December 23, 1989

 

[Hypsometric]

If you play your cards right here you send energy out of the SW shear it while bringing secondary energy out of the arctic and you can theoretically get a similar result to Dec 2010

For sure. ?



If we are staring at this potential in another 4-5 days, it's five-alarm time. Heck, we'll probably have already witnessed some of those epic Dec. 2010 euro runs by that time....

 

[Arcc]

Coldest EPS run yet around day 8-9 View attachment 125140

Gotta love the trend colder every run.