My guess is that if you get the NW trend with this system, you'd end up with a very wet snow/rain-snow mix on the front end changing to rain. There's not a strong enough feed of cold air or enough of a dynamic system to make this one worth anything notable.Northwest trend is your friend?
In a perfect world if you get better tilt of the shortwave you would allow some more cold air to feed in on NW quadrant of this system. Im only watching trends here because many posters here said this was a good timeframe and now things look very dry compared to cold and stormy. Not gonna name names but we are wasting decent opportunities here and as many know y’all Carolina peeps don’t get many opportunities. We have seen wilder trends happen in short range before.My guess is that if you get the NW trend with this system, you'd end up with a very wet snow/rain-snow mix on the front end changing to rain. There's not a strong enough feed of cold air or enough of a dynamic system to make this one worth anything notable.
James spann said the possibility of the same thingOkay we've got another TV met mentioning potentially historic cold
I'll take maps you don't see everyday for $1000.Oh ----, close to a biggin, might be to east View attachment 126232
No sirIm used to the opposite happening View attachment 126233
Surely we are not going to let this cold go to waste.Yeah possibility of 72 hours or so below freezing. Friday the 23rd looks especially fun. High of 21? ???View attachment 126234
Yeah the cold high just sits and spins right over a good bit of Eastern USA... That is very rare to see.
GFS has a similar evolution near Alaska and what was once modeled to park itself in the PNW winds up enhancing the Aleutian low and popping a massive +PNA further out in time.No wonder, it pulls a CMC, it was about to draw back the energy into the pac trough and go for a deep +PNA, that’s another way to win, much improved look View attachment 126216
It completes a successful -NAO retrograde with a rare +PNA/-NAO comboInstead of diving down the TPV rotates NW of Alaska towards the Aleutians this run and really gets the western ridge goingView attachment 126247
Loving that 1042 HP over MN. That's how you get it done. Now let's get to work!Congrats on snow Christmas day Florida. 2 days prior is a metwannabe to DC speacil
View attachment 126240
About 150 north makes sensePensacola special.![]()
Wow, tall western ridge and a piece of the PV pinches off and spins SE. Nice look there!Instead of diving down the TPV rotates NW of Alaska towards the Aleutians this run and really gets the western ridge goingView attachment 126247
If im not mistaken this run is colder than the previous run.Let’s be real… the gefs has been pretty steady View attachment 126249