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Pattern Dazzling December

Northwest trend is your friend?
My guess is that if you get the NW trend with this system, you'd end up with a very wet snow/rain-snow mix on the front end changing to rain. There's not a strong enough feed of cold air or enough of a dynamic system to make this one worth anything notable.
 
My guess is that if you get the NW trend with this system, you'd end up with a very wet snow/rain-snow mix on the front end changing to rain. There's not a strong enough feed of cold air or enough of a dynamic system to make this one worth anything notable.
In a perfect world if you get better tilt of the shortwave you would allow some more cold air to feed in on NW quadrant of this system. Im only watching trends here because many posters here said this was a good timeframe and now things look very dry compared to cold and stormy. Not gonna name names but we are wasting decent opportunities here and as many know y’all Carolina peeps don’t get many opportunities. We have seen wilder trends happen in short range before.
 
No wonder, it pulls a CMC, it was about to draw back the energy into the pac trough and go for a deep +PNA, that’s another way to win, much improved look View attachment 126216
GFS has a similar evolution near Alaska and what was once modeled to park itself in the PNW winds up enhancing the Aleutian low and popping a massive +PNA further out in time.
 
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_49.png
Pensacola special.
 
Pattern wise it feels like we’re toeing a fine line between fail and flourish here. But let’s be honest that’s normally how we roll. If we get this 00z solution someone is going to be digging out.

The benchmark pattern pieces are there. This can be the @Rain Cold great white buffalo if it wants to be.
 
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