WxSouth's thoughts.
The last two posts were about the frequent rains coming and those 2 cold shots, all of which is going as scheduled. Hope you like rain...some "La Nina" huh? We actually have a good tap to the Baja now, similar to El Nino Winters, and a lot of rain coming to the Southeast and Tennessee Valley this upcoming week. And then, all eyes turn to a MEGA block pattern.
That extreme block, the biggest in many years, is what I've been alerting my clients to for a couple of weeks now. When Greenland Blocks like this form between December to early March, it's almost always a guarantee of Winter precip hitting the ground shortly thereafter--and pretty far south. Each one is different (Does Dallas and Atlanta get in? Nashville and Raleigh, Norfolk? ) Some do, but not all of course, in the same storm, in rare cases a widespread biggie happens though..., but the point is, I see a definite, distinct turn toward Winter like Weather by Mid December and beyond. Models have a tough time adjusting the wavelengths and paths of storms when huge blocks like this show up, so if you're a model watcher--expect volatile run to run changes. But in time they must bend to fit the driver of the pattern, which is this gigantic monster of a long lasting block.....the best in a few years. Specifics will be ironed out in time on my blog site for members. Might want to ask Santa for some Winter Gear this year in some spots down South....I think eventually they'll be useful....if not on this particular round of blocking, then on the one likely in January or February.