Very strong look for a 10-15 mean. I would tend to think that the Mid-Atlantic folks would be first in line, but if the block is as strong as some of the projections, we could get in the game before Christmas. If we could get a good 4 week period loaded with potential from the third week of December through January, it’s about as good as it gets.
This is important because look how much cold is hanging around the either side, the block is gonna be hard to get rid of so why not add a -EPO to the mix
You can make the good stuff at 850 with that
I hope so
Here's a comparison of Sunday's EPS with today's for the period Dec 6-12. Indeed, it does look like we are still getting to a similar ending, but the progression is happening a touch slower. Compared to Sunday's version, today's version has: 1) less of the cold TPV in southern Canada getting tucked up underneath the block, 2) more SE Ridge, 3) more low pressure off Cali, 4) less ridging thru AK, 5) disruptive cold low over Siberia is closer to AK.
What are you talking about? There’s nothing getting pushed out further on these model runs… they’re still showing showing a favorable pattern setting up late next week/ weekend. Also, no one’s been saying that big cold is coming soon… we’re simply looking at a pattern that will promote a sustained and possibly extended period of cooler than average temperatures and potentially stormy.
Agree with your ideas here. Only part I disagree on is with respect to connecting blocks up top. If we could pump ridging up into AK to combine with this big Greenland block, a lot of cold air would get sent into the CONUS to go with a slowed flow...it would be full on winter.
