The same thing was said in 2021.
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This is nothing like 2021. Not even close.
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The same thing was said in 2021.
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I’m okay with a February ‘21 repeat.The gefs is retrograding the Canadian TPV back west under the -NAO block in February 2021 fashion. Ugly
He is seldom right, never in doubtThis is nothing like 2021. Not even close.
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Actually if we flood Alaska with low pressure then it’s pretty similar progression to jan 2021, but options are on the tableThis is nothing like 2021. Not even close.
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One big difference between right now and Feb 2021 is the MJO. I remember back then, we were very concerned before hand that it was starting to amp up and not in a good phase and it ended up flexing the SER. Now we’re seeing the MJO low amp and in good phases headed for CODActually if we flood Alaska with low pressure then it’s pretty similar progression to jan 2021, but options are on the table
1. We either dump a piece of energy cleanly into the pacific and flex the western ridge, get minimal interaction between that energy that enters AK and the Canadian TPV and we get a big chunk of the TPV under the block successfully, and we get rockin and rolling
2. There some interaction between the Canadian TPV and the energy diving in AK, but not enough interaction so we get a solid piece of the TPV but not the whole thing, it’s a bit murky out west but energy rounding the NPAC ridge eventually rexes the pacific and heights are raised out west. still a solid option
3. We get a ---- ton of interaction between the Alaskan energy and Canadian TPV, so the Alaskan energy pulls the TPV out of Canada, and nothing gets under the block, energy dumps out west as the energy dives out of Alaska and the energy rounding the NPAC ridge feels the less backed up/retrogressive flow. At best we get cutoff lows. That’s pretty similar to 2021
I’d go with option 2 to in between 1-2 for now, that EPS run was glorious so I’m not to worried
NopeThis is nothing like 2021. Not even close.
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If and when we get a true -epo, it's going to get cold!! No doubt about that. Just a matter of when not if. The flat Aleutian ridge is hurting us like I alluded to yesterdayNope
What part of the new GFS is crap don’t you guys understand lol
There was a period during the February 2010 snowstorm where we easily picked up 3 1/2" within two hours.The jackpot was literally at CAE (The airport in Columbia). Solid harmless 7-8 hour snowstorm that dumped 1 inch per hour rates. Lot of memories in that one.