That first little storm on the GFS run came from a wave pinwheeling down from the northern stream…but yeah, the thought occurred to me that we have no idea where these storms are going to come from out at range, but if we can get this pattern to set in, it’s going to become harder to miss outWe know it’s too far out but it’s good to show opportunities as we know this pattern should give them.
Very well put. The occasions of the southeast getting a decent storm without snowpack in place across the north are few and far between. The only times that come to mind are the Christmas Ice Storm in 1998 and 1/2-3/2002That’s not how this works and it never has lol. Better just suck it up and realize what it takes to get any type of winter weather in the south let alone snow. And plus it’s 12/11. Meteorological winter literally just started lol
Theoretically this could end up being our legit table setter for the energy that comes after this storm. Very marginal cold air to work with here but this type of storm would surely bring the cold air south enough to where we want it for whatever happens 20-25th .. exciting model watching times ahead. Expect some fun runs over the next several days.
Not necessarily. I agree that the biggest temperature anamolies will be west of the Apps, but this is an overall pattern that does promote better opportunities of strong CAD east of the Apps. Also we’re going into an MJO phase that supports a more muted SER.One note of caution for those of us east of the Appellations, this pattern as modeled favors areas to the west where the best cold looks to set up. Texas to Alabama looks like the place to be for the next couple of weeks.