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Coronavirus (Stay on Topic)

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Getting too close to home now. Moms coworker who had openly said "the virus is a hoax to get trump voted out" and never wore a mask decided to go into work 2 days while sick bc they "didn't have PTO and needed to get paid". Well they tested positive, now I'm on pins and needles since my parents are 65+. It's amazing to me how people 7 months into this still want to stick their head in the sand
 
Only 2 states have reproduction rates under 1.0. We have a real situation developing. I've seen some estimates based on the summer curve we could hit over 100,000 cases per day in December.

Vermont definitely the place to be.....


 
Well my other sister in law has been exposed. One of her employees came to work today feeling a little crummy and went and got tested and is positive. My sister in law was all around her and is pretty ticked she will have to stay home for fourteen days.
 
Arcc said:
Well my other sister in law has been exposed. One of her employees came to work today feeling a little crummy and went and got tested and is positive. My sister in law was all around her and is pretty ticked she will have to stay home for fourteen days.
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My sister is quarantined too. She was with one friend and another joined them that she didn't know very well. They didn't have their masks on with each other. Now the second friend tested positive.....so my sister waits.
I just stay home.....
 
Snowfan said:
The IHME model has been unreliable. It overestimates the deaths.
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Right now we are hovering close to 1,000 deaths per day. On the back of a napkin let's look at best case, it doesn't get worse.
From Nov 1 to Feb 1 = 92 days x 1,000 = 92,000
Est Nov 1 at 230,000 + 92,000 = 322,000 best case

Worse case
Dec and Jan move to 2,000 per day
Nov 1 230,000 + nov 30,000 + Dec/Jan 124,000 = 384,000

Yeah, I can believe this particular run is plausible......390,000
 
Like or hate masks they are here to stay until everyone decides otherwise. They are taking the mile.

www.webmd.com

Coronavirus (COVID-19) Overview

COVID-19 is a new type of coronavirus that causes mild to severe cases. Here’s a quick guide on how to spot symptoms, risk factors, prevent spread of the disease, and find out what to do if you think you have it.
www.webmd.com www.webmd.com
 
Arcc said:
Read an article released by the University of Arizona. They said antibodies should last at least two years.
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This particular study only found evidence to 7 months. The 2 year mark was an opinion.

“The latest time-points we tracked in infected individuals were past seven months, so that is the longest period of time we can confirm immunity lasts,” Dr. Bhattacharya said. “That said, we know that people who were infected with the first SARS coronavirus, which is the most similar virus to SARS-CoV-2, are still seeing immunity 17 years after infection. If SARS-CoV-2 is anything like the first one, we expect antibodies to last at least two years, and it would be unlikely for anything much shorter.”


| The University of Arizona Health Sciences

uahs.arizona.edu uahs.arizona.edu
 
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