Until people don’t follow the rules. It won’t last just like in NC. Esp the parks. SC went further with no boat ramps now.In Georgia we are still free to go to the parks and golf courses. Life won’t change much for me.
In Georgia we are still free to go to the parks and golf courses. Life won’t change much for me.
I suppose parts of the Atlanta area is doing it differently from Augusta then, because I'm assuming that the city parks are all closed and I believe the Augusta National might be (they're also a winter course though and there's no Masters this spring, so them closing might not be a huge surprise). I know at least one did with the shelter in place order. Although, who's to say that I can't drive down to the community center and use the outdoor things unless they gate the entrance.
South Carolina (or at least Aiken County) closed their parks entirely like a day after I went to the Carolina Bay over in Aiken. I know this because we were going to try to cross over again but I shot it down when I discovered that Aiken County went further with closing. The closures didn't go as far as the WMAs, at least yet though. I found one where the gate was open (which really surprised me) and we drove in as far as we could stomach (probably got to the parking area honestly but we likely wouldn't have been able to stomach going in it) to walk late in the morning. There was absolutely no one else there.
I also was very tempted to post that ourworldindata thing again with recent adjustments, but I'll just say again, I've been hearing the we are 2-3 weeks from being Italy deal with full effects spread out (not just high population areas), for probably 3 weeks now. My memory is not perfect, but I know my first post on this subject in bravesrefuge was on 3-16, and I think I was beginning to hear it a few days earlier.
Probably need about a little over 2 more weeks though to see what happens (death rate/if other hospitals outside of high population areas start getting overwhelmed), and there are areas getting completely wrecked currently for sure, but the full on Italy stuff hasn't arrived, at least not yet. Maybe in a little over 2 more weeks, it finally happens.
It's not that I have no concern, but I spent a while looking at rural Georgia hospital stuff this evening, and a lot of my concern would lean toward those hospitals not being enough and there not being enough hospitals nearby, and those are also issues in regular times.
We got plenty....?Shoot #metwannabe we are good. May have to make another run to Tractor Supply.
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Anti-parasitic drug kills coronavirus in lab within 48 hours
Could this globally available drug help stem the tide of coronavirus infections while the world awaits a vaccine?7news.com.au
We got plenty....?
Had a great conversation with my Son who has a degree in Computational and Applied Mathematics about the "data."And don’t care about per capita. NYC alone is worse than any other country even per capita.
It absolutely is garbage, the thing runs on one data point apparently.
I dunno about ya'll, but I'm getting tired of tracking this virus.
Fatigue, fatigue, fatigue.?
yeah thousand people dead from the thing day after day. Staring to get numb to the numbers. It’s going to get so much worse too. ?
the model has been off on deaths in the wrong direction. The last two days have seen the death toll fall outside the range on the high end. I think the model isn't perfect but that twitter post left out that key detail that the model has missed on the death toll on the low side so far.
My wife is a veterinarian and has a huge amount of this drug at her practice....hmmm.We got plenty....?
Not on individual states. Yes, nationally it has been on the higher side of the model projections, But that is because some places have peaked faster, but for instance AL using the current model projection was supposed to have 18-20 deaths yesterday, they had 6. It has been way over doing AL for the past three days. Looking at known cases, there is basically no way the curve will be close.
sadly I disagree. If we are sub 100k deaths (which is what the average on that model shows) by August 1st I’ll be shocked.
this model shows 40k - 180k deaths by 8/3/20 with a mean of about 92,000. Sadly I think that’s what happens. Looks like most of that happens in the next 60 days. Do you?View attachment 38339
I agree it will be bad but that model has overestimated things recently. It will be updated today.sadly I disagree. If we are sub 100k deaths (which is what the average on that model shows) by August 1st I’ll be shocked.
this model shows 40k - 180k deaths by 8/3/20 with a mean of about 92,000. Sadly I think that’s what happens. Looks like most of that happens in the next 60 days. Do you?View attachment 38339
Good post! In all of that data is a number of people recovered too which is good news.Had a great conversation with my Son who has a degree in Computational and Applied Mathematics about the "data."
Unless you have exact comparables for all variables there's no true comparison, there are however emotional ones.
Per capita is just as wide open as anything, you need to consider environmental conditions/population density/age/health/etc as factors.
Obviously there is raw death data, it's not pretty, and nothing should minimize the seriousness of the situation with what we currently know, there are definitely a lot of unknowns too.
This model will be updated today:
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IHME | COVID-19 Projections
Explore forecasts of COVID-19 cases, deaths, and hospital resource use.covid19.healthdata.org
I strongly suspect the numbers and impact will be significantly reduced which will be a huge blessing
Fingers crossed