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Pattern Caperil 2021

SD said:
Yard is black. Awesome. Maybe we will finally have a green up in June if any plants actually come back, what a joke.
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I have only mowed the weeds twice so far this year, my Bermuda and centipede are lack nahhhhh we will wait.....
 
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FallsLake said:
On clear/calm nights you want to be in the lower elevation areas, compared to your surroundings. I'm on a ridge (compared to surroundings) and always a little warmer than most others during these setups. I mentioned Sanford in my other post; it's always a cold spot. Rocky Mount (east of Raleigh) can also come in low sometimes.
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Yep and if you go for a walk or run on one of these mornings you can literally feel pockets of colder/warmer temps with the slightest of elevation changes. Even in a very small area, felt it this morning ?
 
SD said:
If we were to continue similar to 99 that frying hot July and first half of August would really break some hearts
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I wonder how it was in the storm department May-sept around here but SPC reports don’t go back that far
 
SD said:
If we were to continue similar to 99 that frying hot July and first half of August would really break some hearts
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Why is it on this forum when we have colder than normal conditions it’s always “ ahhh finally a normal spring “ like the heck kind of climo data are these weenies looking at . I want to see it !
 
Lickwx said:
Why is it on this forum when we have colder than normal conditions it’s always “ ahhh finally a normal spring “ like the heck kind of climo data are these weenies looking at . I want to see it !
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Isn't the average for March going way up at this 30 year update? I would like to see March/April in the 80s vs 90s vs 00s vs 10s. I wouldn't be surprised if there has been warming as a whole which is why you hear the "it used to be colder"
 
SD said:
Isn't the average for March going way up at this 30 year update? I would like to see March/April in the 80s vs 90s vs 00s vs 10s. I wouldn't be surprised if there has been warming as a whole which is why you hear the "it used to be colder"
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Still though we are having significantly colder than normal conditions that weren’t normal even then . Which is my point , come October if we get a 45/30 day or something bet you we will hear it .
 
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Myfrotho704_ said:
Oh my god my grandmas tomatoes, bell pepper, basil, cucumber are shriveled up or just look wilted, she planted those for me since I lived at a place where I can’t plant stuff, damn ?
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Get plenty of water on them throughout out the day today... make sure the soil stays soaked and they should comeback quickly
 
Lickwx said:
Still though we are having significantly colder than normal conditions that weren’t normal even then . Which is my point , come October if we get a 45/30 day or something bet you we will hear it .
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Well we did tie a record so that's abnormal but in general I'd just like to see the numbers. Speaking off memory generally romanticizes the past
 
SD said:
Isn't the average for March going way up at this 30 year update? I would like to see March/April in the 80s vs 90s vs 00s vs 10s. I wouldn't be surprised if there has been warming as a whole which is why you hear the "it used to be colder"
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Even with the “it used to be colder argument” which is true for the most part, there is nothing normal about dropping to 30 degrees on 4/22 in the Carolinas outside of the mountains.
 
Rain Cold said:
How unusual is it to dip below freezing in late April? Like for RDU, how many years since record-keeping began have seen temps at or below freezing, say, after April 15?
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From 4/15-5/10, there are 15 days which have an all time record low ≥32F. I'm looking for freeze data
 
God bless the IEM data plotter. For the NC State climate reporting site
On a certain date, what is the chance a temperature below a certain
threshold would be observed again that spring season

DOY : Date : chc <33 : chc <29 : chc <27 : chc <23

62 Mar 02 97 77 61 27
64 Mar 04 96 72 56 24
66 Mar 06 96 70 52 20
68 Mar 08 95 64 48 17
70 Mar 10 93 58 42 14
72 Mar 12 88 53 38 10
74 Mar 14 87 50 34 10
76 Mar 16 84 45 31 7
78 Mar 18 79 38 24 6
80 Mar 20 75 31 17 3
82 Mar 22 73 26 13 3
84 Mar 24 65 20 13 2
86 Mar 26 59 16 10 2
88 Mar 28 58 11 6 0
90 Mar 30 48 8 3 0
92 Apr 01 45 7 3 0
94 Apr 03 38 6 2 0
96 Apr 05 34 5 2 0
98 Apr 07 29 3 2 0
100 Apr 09 25 3 1 0
102 Apr 11 17 0 0 0
104 Apr 13 13 0 0 0
106 Apr 15 10 0 0 0
108 Apr 17 3 0 0 0
110 Apr 19 2 0 0 0
112 Apr 21 0 0 0 0
114 Apr 23 0 0 0 0
116 Apr 25 0 0 0 0
118 Apr 27 0 0 0 0
120 Apr 29 0 0 0 0
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Regarding ATL area, it seems that today's freeze wasn't the latest but was one of the latest on record. We dipped below freezing at 1 am and came above at just after 8, meaning we had 7 hours below plus the frost. Cherry trees were wilted looking until the sun hit them but it's also going to set the lawns back even more.
 
SD said:
Just remember this is normal, plants will regrow, it's great walking weather, it feels like fall, and it's so much fun!
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I’m glad you’re starting to understand ? beautiful morning for sure .. great for a nice warm cup of coffee with the heat on ... hopefully everyone protected what they could that could die in this type of weather round two tonight!
 
SD said:
We just tied a record low
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Yes isn’t that what we’ve been cheering about all morning? I’m talking about global warming you know making our averages warmer over time and now has made our climo snow less I think it was 4 inches last year but new climo has made it like 3.3 now .. something like that .. it hits hard in the winter time and probably is what’s causing these past few bad depressing winters around here
 
NickyBGuarantee said:
Yes isn’t that what we’ve been cheering about all morning? I’m talking about global warming you know making our averages warmer over time and now has made our climo snow less I think it was 4 inches last year but new climo has made it like 3.3 now .. something like that .. it hits hard in the winter time and probably is what’s causing these past few bad depressing winters around here
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We just had a wall to wall below normal winter and almost no snow so "averages going up" doesn't exactly explain the lack of snow especially given we have had winters with AN temps and AN snow. Additionally 1/1/90-12/31/99 was the worst decade for snow we averaged something like 2 inches so this recent GW train that is causing less snow doesn't entirely fit that narrative. Broad brushing GW for our lack of snow is the easy way to explain it but there is likely something deeper that has favored SE ridging/PVs going into other continents/a general lack of a -NAO/and west coast troughing. Maybe the answer ties back to GW I'm not sure but you can see clear decadal or multidecadal flips in the 500mb height anomalies globally and right now we are in one that stinks.
 
SD said:
We just had a wall to wall below normal winter and almost no snow so "averages going up" doesn't exactly explain the lack of snow especially given we have had winters with AN temps and AN snow. Additionally 1/1/90-12/31/99 was the worst decade for snow we averaged something like 2 inches so this recent GW train that is causing less snow doesn't entirely fit that narrative. Broad brushing GW for our lack of snow is the easy way to explain it but there is likely something deeper that has favored SE ridging/PVs going into other continents/a general lack of a -NAO/and west coast troughing. Maybe the answer ties back to GW I'm not sure but you can see clear decadal or multidecadal flips in the 500mb height anomalies globally and right now we are in one that stinks.
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Lol feels like we switched it every break in the North Atlantic has lead to a -NAO it seems
 
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