Misc Autumn Digital Model/Ensemble Winter Thread

[Ollie Williams]

November 30th 18z
Congrats Brent
View attachment 26267
Look at the Date: December 6th
View attachment 26268
Our festive SER peeking inside
View attachment 26269
This date last year: The December thread began
Ensemble-member courtesy @whatalife
View attachment 26270
Map Courtesy of @Snowfan

12z 11/21
CFS same timeframe as the GFS above

 

[pcbjr]

12z 11/21
CFS same timeframe as the GFS above
View attachment 26300

awful lot of frozen showing up at 552 ...

 

[Ollie Williams]

awful lot of frozen showing up at 552 ...

I roll my eyes when I look at H5. reminds me of the many storms we have failed over the years

 

[Ollie Williams]

18z 11/22
GFS

 

[Ollie Williams]

GFS 00z 11/23

 

[Ollie Williams]

GFS 06z 11/23
@NoSnowATL first weenie run

 

[NoSnowATL]

GFS 06z 11/23
@NoSnowATL first weenie run
View attachment 26389View attachment 26388View attachment 26390View attachment 26391View attachment 26392View attachment 26393

Brings a tear to my eyes. God bless you!


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[Ollie Williams]

11/25 12z CMC

 

[Ollie Williams]

GFS 18z 12/1

 

[Ollie Williams]

Here are some Ensemble runs that have been sitting on my desktop

 

[Ollie Williams]

Boom! Hr 384 GFS CAD
00z 12/2

 

[Ollie Williams]

Today has been fun for the GFS (1/2)
12/2 06z


18z Part 1, (part 2 is a Doozy)

 

[Ollie Williams]

GFS's Weenie Happy Hour (2/2)
GFS 18z 12/2/19

Setup: After a front makes its way through (shown above) a huge HP ridge gets stuck across the US. Ironically H5 looks horrible. Not the best pattern. The trouble comes when the shortwave gets dislodged in the SW.

Precip maps: @Brent this one is for you


SE View. HP Moved away, but still strong CAD. Nice to see GSP in the bullzye for once.

 

[Golf7575]

It be more fun to see it on a 0z or 12zgfs fantasy run.

 

[Ollie Williams]

Probably the best run yet, plus it’s from the Euro

12/4 12z

 

[Ollie Williams]

Crazy GFS run
06z 12/5

 

[BHS1975]

https://phys.org/news/2019-12-critical-gap-weather.html


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[ForsythSnow]

https://phys.org/news/2019-12-critical-gap-weather.html


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This thread is an archive of snowy runs, so this would be best moved to other threads that are more appropriate.

 

[Ollie Williams]

06z 12/7
GEFS at it again

 

[Ollie Williams]

12z GFS 12/7

 

[Ollie Williams]

18z GFS 12/7

 

[Ollie Williams]

00z GFS 12/8

 

[Ollie Williams]

00z 12/12
Nice Miller A storm

 

[NoSnowATL]

00z 12/12
Nice Miller A storm
View attachment 28048View attachment 28049

Interesting


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[Ollie Williams]

00z 12/13

 

[Myfrotho704_]

This just shows how bad the gfs is, most of the things that make up this thread is the GFS

 

[Ollie Williams]

12z 12/14
Probably one of the best GFS solutions yet. Total Blizzard

 

[Ollie Williams]

12z 12/12
I wanted to post this GEFS run. If anybody is ATL gets sad, just look at #6

 

[NoSnowATL]

12z 12/12
I wanted to post this GEFS run. If anybody is ATL gets sad, just look at #6
View attachment 28057View attachment 28058

#6 is the BIG DOG .


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[Ollie Williams]

18z 12/14 GFS

Huge increase on the 18z GEFS