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Pattern August Rush 2020

It ain't pretty, but the bulk of the heat anomalies are up in SE Canada through the 6 week period... so it looks like same ole same ole, barring any pattern changing tropical event: 1596788693693.png
 
JHS said:
Very little in the GSP CWA area and I do NOT see that changing. Including Charlotte. A quiet evening in store it looks like.
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Boy, you sure missed that one..... Widespread heavy rainfall last night. Face it, this is not your year.
 
SD said:
Hard not to think at least decent coverage Wed and Thur. Friday night be tempered back by debris and stratus from the Thursday stuff. As we get into late weekend early next week think we try to slip in a MCV in the WNW flow.

Going out from that would be shocked to try to trap a baggy upper low/weakness as heights build into the Lakes and NE. All in all a much better coming 10 days than the previous 21 for some of us
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I think we still see some action today. It will just be later on today into this evening. It is getting brighter and the cloud deck is thinning out a bit now. It may actually help initiate some storms due to the differential heating from this morning's debris clouds. We shall see.
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
Good stuff man @SD
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Looking at what's going on I am a little conflicted though. Obvious sfc convergence and differential heating to our SE makes me want to say we don't see much today unless the northward moving ofbs can get stuff going. Another part of me says trough axis approaching and delayed warming keeping convection down means we get some type of loose line starting out your way that progresses east on its outflow. Tough call today to be honest
 
HRRR looks like it’s on schedule with convection back building from the east.


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Soon as we got good sun it popped. Gonna get a quick shower but very little lightning just elevated thunder.
 
HRRR wants to get storms going around CLT later on this evening. It did well last night so I am some optimistic.
 
Up to 3/4” with this little complex, should be over 1” before it clears. Most fell over a 15 minute period, certainly the wettest week of the summer here so far and can tell things are starting to green up!
 
WeatherNC said:
Up to 3/4” with this little complex, should be over 1” before it clears. Most fell over a 15 minute period, certainly the wettest week of the summer here so far and can tell things are starting to green up!
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Man there were a couple decent strikes near us that had some deep thunder. By far my best lightning and thunder I've seen this year.
 
From WRAL weather

An outflow boundary is moving to the west into Johnston County and eventually Wake and Harnett Counties.We expect this to trigger more storms to develop through the evening. Tune in starting at 4PM on WRAL to see how they develop over the next few hours.

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And like clockwork storms are bubbling SE and SW of CLT making that NE trajectory. Should see more development as time goes on. @Myfrotho704_ May wanna dust that camera off, Haha. I think a lot of gave up this morning.
 
Growing storm over southern Wilkes may go severe soon
 
Shaggy said:
This thing started out as a tiny base and went full on mushroom cloud up with some smooth striations up the side. A thing of beauty.
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That's how it started for me earlier in the afternoon. Just one dark cloud then boom the entire sky was black
 
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