Arctic April

[Brent]

Already dropped 15 degrees here and the sun is still up

 

[accu35]

Already dropped 15 degrees here and the sun is still up

Any snow?

 

[Brent]

Any snow?

No but that was unlikely from the start unfortunately lol

 

[Brent]

54 and windy here hard to believe I was watching for severe weather and it was near 80 a few hours ago

 

[Arcc]

That look at 500mb at the end of the 12z Euro run is the type that really pops us.

 

[Brent]

47 degrees and howling winds here... its like January all over again lol

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Gefs beginning to show a ridge around day 10

 

[Brent]

wind chill of 41 at almost noon

 

[smast16]

wind chill of 41 at almost noon

I want to thumb this down because i would hate that, but i don't want you to think i'm thumbing YOU down...

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Oh boy what is the euro about to do..

 

[Rain Cold]

Oh boy what is the euro about to do.. View attachment 39461

Split Raleigh with convection just to the north and to the south again? Just a guess.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Split Raleigh with convection just to the north and to the south again? Just a guess.

Close

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Euro has shifted towards SE ridging now late this week from the trough it was showing

 

[Myfrotho704_]

We’re gonna have to watch out for more severe, southeast ridge trending stronger certainly helping out with the increased chances of severe

 

[Arcc]

We’re gonna have to watch out for more severe, southeast ridge trending stronger certainly helping out with the increased chances of severe View attachment 39465View attachment 39466View attachment 39467

Those flat waves can trend very dangerous, very quickly. See 3/14/08.

 

[SD]

Those flat waves can trend very dangerous, very quickly. See 3/14/08.

Yup I remember that one well, I didn't agree with Perry and Fred G, I lost

 

[Arcc]

Yup I remember that one well, I didn't agree with Perry and Fred G, I lost

I forgot about the 15th as well. It was another flat wave. I guess my mind combined the two events in two days as the same.

 

[ryan1234]

We’re gonna have to watch out for more severe, southeast ridge trending stronger certainly helping out with the increased chances of severe View attachment 39465View attachment 39466View attachment 39467

This isn't good. I believe the Euro was the first model to sniff yesterday's threat out.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Those flat waves can trend very dangerous, very quickly. See 3/14/08.

Yeah if I’m not mistaken the Nashville/cookeville TN tornado happened with a flat look at H5, flat flow at H5 can actually be more favorable tbh, don’t gotta worry about extreme forcing either

 

[Arcc]

Yeah if I’m not mistaken the Nashville/cookeville TN tornado happened with a flat look at H5, flat flow at H5 can actually be more favorable tbh, don’t gotta worry about extreme forcing either

As was the Lee county EF4 last year. This sounding is for near BHM. A more organized system with these background numbers right here and it is a high impact event.