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Arctic April

GaWx said:
Latest GEFS 6-15 (12Z0 still looks pleasantly cool/mild for much of the country! The question is not whether there is but how much cold bias there is in these? In other words, we know it won't be this cold throughout the country barring a miracle.

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With the virus, do we really want it cold ? I say crank up the heat and lets kill this thing.
 
Another big Euro run is incoming for next weekend. This run thus far is more supportive of severe w/ the 2nd trailing northern stream wave backing off a bit over southern Canada at day 4-5, allowing our cut-off ULL to remain in tact and slow down its progression thru the southern US.
 
Webberweather53 said:
Thankfully it's not late spring or summer, because if we added a lot more CAPE to a setup like we have tomorrow, we'd probably have to contend with a derecho. Gotta love NW flow season!
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Yeah, likely the best setup for hail this year, lol freezing level that low with that much SBcape 4ADC33FD-191D-4050-9450-2CD4E051E510.png
 
BufordWX said:
Big Easter Sunday outbreak really looking like a possibility now.
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Yeah, imo it's probable if not likely already that someone east of the Rockies and south of the OH valley is going to see significant severe out of this in some way, shape, or form late next week into next weekend. We're definitely trending towards a big severe &/or tornado outbreak in general
 
Webberweather53 said:
Yeah, imo it's probable if not likely already that someone east of the Rockies and south of the OH valley is going to see significant severe out of this in some way, shape, or form late next week into next weekend. We're definitely trending towards a big severe &/or tornado outbreak in general
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Lots of rain with this looks increasingly likely too. Isolated flooding could also be an issue especially in Alabama and Georgia where the euro is showing a swath of 4-6 inches. Which could be a problem since we didn’t dry up as much last month as the Carolinas. Still had over 6 inches here.
 
BufordWX said:
Lots of rain with this looks increasingly likely too. Isolated flooding could also be an issue especially in Alabama and Georgia where the euro is showing a swath of 4-6 inches. Which could be a problem since we didn’t dry up as much last month as the Carolinas. Still had over 6 inches here.
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Yea the overrunning nature of this event w/ moist, broad southwesterly flow off the Gulf and the potential for multiple embedded waves within the broader s/w envelope definitely argues for a significant flood threat coupled w/ the fact as you've mentioned, there's already some atmospheric "memory" for rain in these areas.
 
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