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Arctic April

35 at my house in Summerfield, just NW of GSO. Caught me a little by surprise. It could get this low again tonight.
 
GFS/CMC shows ample chances for light frosts through Mid April. Freezes limited to the mtns for now.
 
Well it looks like a great spring pattern here in Charlotte. A few days with cooler weather then warmer weather back and forth. What does the pattern look like for the rest of April?
 
Cadi40 said:
Well it looks like a great spring pattern here in Charlotte. A few days with cooler weather then warmer weather back and forth. What does the pattern look like for the rest of April?
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Stormy with post frost.
 
Assuming that is isn't largely due to cold bias, the 12Z EPS says look out for a chilly mid April in much of the country with cooler and drier than normal even down into the SE US. In other words, the last frosts of the season may not have been seen in especially some northern SE areas assuming cold bias isn't skewing things much.
 
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Major NWP model skill scores have been set back big time due to the lack of upper air obs from aircraft during the coronavirus. Expect much wilder than normal swings in the models going forward.

Also, keep in mind that we're almost at that time of the year where even a really big negative height anomaly on the ensembles could be a harbinger of severe weather.





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Wondering if this is another cold head fake on the ensembles/globals or nah, remember it was looking like blocking was gonna dominate with a East US trough then as it got closer it did a complete reversal, and models have a tendency to be cold biased, so I wonder
 
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