Arctic April

[Webberweather53]

This woulda been nice 2 months ago.

 

[tennessee storm]

may want call n change this thread to active april...

 

[Myfrotho704_]

EPS/GEFS looks warm as we head into April, love this look, it’s about time we have a march/April that isn’t in the freezer

 

[Bham 99]

EPS/GEFS looks warm as we head into April, love this look, it’s about time we have a march/April that isn’t in the freezer View attachment 38078View attachment 38079

A true Spring

 

[NorthDFWwx]

EPS/GEFS looks warm as we head into April, love this look, it’s about time we have a march/April that isn’t in the freezer View attachment 38078View attachment 38079

A true Spring

Indeed.

Not overly warm, yet no ridiculously cold temps either.

A bit more sun would be nice though.

 

[BufordWX]

Oh no you don’t GFS. Don’t even think about pulling maps like these out again.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

After that cooldown this week, Gefs basically shows ridging the entire run

 

[Myfrotho704_]

That’s also a very good pattern for severe

 

[BufordWX]

That’s also a very good pattern for severe

I don’t usually make predictions like this and I hope I’m wrong but I just got this sinking feeling in me that there’s going to be a week in April featuring a series of rough severe weather events. Given everything else going on that is absolutely the last thing needed, but I can’t shake this uneasy feeling. Hope I’m wrong.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

I don’t usually make predictions like this and I hope I’m wrong but I just got this sinking feeling in me that there’s going to be a week in April featuring a series of rough severe weather events. Given everything else going on that is absolutely the last thing needed, but I can’t shake this uneasy feeling. Hope I’m wrong.

April has been dominated by blocking these past few years, this year looks different... that pattern the ensembles/globals show is one that can produce legit multi day severe weather events, especially since it looks like the SER won’t be beaten back that much, this April has a different look

 

[Myfrotho704_]

It’s also worth noting that even if the trough doesn’t eject much from the west, we’ve seen these weird setups with strong flow out the west on the more northern side of the ridge aloft (500mb) with little Pieces of energy acting to back low level winds this year, for example the Nashville tornado was like that

 

[Webberweather53]

It’s also worth noting that even if the trough doesn’t eject much from the west, we’ve seen these weird setups with strong flow out the west on the more northern side of the ridge aloft (500mb) with little Pieces of energy acting to back low level winds this year, for example the Nashville tornado was like that

Yeah, you really don't need a monster s/w to eject out of the SW US or southern plains to get a decent bout of severe weather, oftentimes, those setups are characterized by considerably too much forcing/shear and limits the overall severity of convection

 

[SD]

Euro thinks its still winter

 

[BufordWX]

It’s day 10 on the Euro, but still the Euro is possibly firing some warning shots already.

 

[tennessee storm]

It’s day 10 on the Euro, but still the Euro is possibly firing some warning shots already.View attachment 38122

that's a eye brow raiser there for sure... umm

 

[Darklordsuperstorm]

It’s day 10 on the Euro, but still the Euro is possibly firing some warning shots already.View attachment 38122

Ouch.
Surface low in favorable position and under 1000mb with an uncluttered warm sector ahead of what looks like a broken line/supercells.

 

[cd2play]

It’s day 10 on the Euro, but still the Euro is possibly firing some warning shots already.View attachment 38122

If that were to verify, we would likely have a PDS day.

 

[NCHighCountryWX]

Some snow inbound over 4500’

 

[SD]

@metwannabe special

 

[avlsnow]

This looks interesting for SEVA and NENC but then again it could just be the nam being the nam