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Arctic April

cd2play said:
It sure beats dealing with severe storms and tornadoes. JMO
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Given how green everything is and it being later than normal anyways would not be good for Gardner’s and agriculture ! Severe weather would be nice , more so thunderstorms I don’t think anyone wants to deal with tornados . I have unusual luck with tornados , seen two at my house that just skimmed by! Should post the photos from May’s tornado. Damage was nuts everywhere
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
EPS joins the Strong SER club View attachment 38056View attachment 38057
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Ditto this for quite possibly many more years to come as there’s no end in sight to the dominating strong SER. The very warm W Pacific waters are likely not going away anytime soon and we should remain warmer than normal in just about all seasons for the foreseeable future. About all I could realistically see happening is an isolated BN month here and there. This persistent warmth is potentially good news to keep the virus from spreading as much as would otherwise occur.
 
I am not sure how many of you follow Brad P. but he posted something about how with less commercial airlines flying also means less data for weather models. Since they collect data as they fly. Maybe that could have to do with some of the back and forths with the models? It certainly isn't good for the upcoming severe weather season.
 
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Myfrotho704_ said:
That’s also a very good pattern for severe
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I don’t usually make predictions like this and I hope I’m wrong but I just got this sinking feeling in me that there’s going to be a week in April featuring a series of rough severe weather events. Given everything else going on that is absolutely the last thing needed, but I can’t shake this uneasy feeling. Hope I’m wrong.
 
BufordWX said:
I don’t usually make predictions like this and I hope I’m wrong but I just got this sinking feeling in me that there’s going to be a week in April featuring a series of rough severe weather events. Given everything else going on that is absolutely the last thing needed, but I can’t shake this uneasy feeling. Hope I’m wrong.
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April has been dominated by blocking these past few years, this year looks different... that pattern the ensembles/globals show is one that can produce legit multi day severe weather events, especially since it looks like the SER won’t be beaten back that much, this April has a different look
 
It’s also worth noting that even if the trough doesn’t eject much from the west, we’ve seen these weird setups with strong flow out the west on the more northern side of the ridge aloft (500mb) with little Pieces of energy acting to back low level winds this year, for example the Nashville tornado was like that
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
It’s also worth noting that even if the trough doesn’t eject much from the west, we’ve seen these weird setups with strong flow out the west on the more northern side of the ridge aloft (500mb) with little Pieces of energy acting to back low level winds this year, for example the Nashville tornado was like that
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Yeah, you really don't need a monster s/w to eject out of the SW US or southern plains to get a decent bout of severe weather, oftentimes, those setups are characterized by considerably too much forcing/shear and limits the overall severity of convection
 
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