Same here in Spartanburg our dew point on the NAM 3km said dew point is 24 and the NAM 12km said it was 22 but our dew point is currently at 12 degrees.
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Wintry April Fools? (1-2) Surprise Storm
- Thread starter ForsythSnow
- Start date
Check out that precip in Louisiana and Alabama ... HRRR sees none of it .. also you can see the northwestern trend in precip shield beginning as well ... lets see what happens
Cad Wedge NC
Member
Wet bulbs are currently in the mid to upper 30's across most of western NC. Let's see how fast the temp can drop once the sun sets. That will say a lot as to how things evolve tonight and tomorrow morning.
Hrrr just dumps southern NC Piedmont with heavy wet snow, precip shield will probably go more west as time goes by, getting ULL vibes 
Cad Wedge NC
Member
How much of that is ground truth?
Just a classic heavy wet snow sounding 
snowlover91
Member
21z RAP was a huge change from 20z run and previous ones. Less qpf and barely any snow.
Not seeing many if any models that have precip over Louisiana. If they do they seem to dry up then re-form over Georgia.
I’d still gladly take the RAP, still a brief burst of heavy snow and again a heavy wet snow sounding
Barely a cloud in sight, radiational cooling is our friend tonight
All it took was for me to vacay to the beach for it to snow! Of course! Hope y'all can reel it in back home
From what I can it looks like the latest Hrrr had snow for the midlands. fwiw
I think the deep reds and oranges we are seeing on future maps will be SLEET or melting aloft. Lots of dry air tells me less rain and more sleet. With that said, certainly very heavy rain for coastal and eastern areas.
Hrrr actually has been shifting the precip sheild east, low looks the same, I wonder why
Also looks to be raising the initial dew points which it weird because its previous dew points were colder than the current run and even those were too warm.
snowlover91
Member
It seems to be struggling some with the consolidation of the LP, I've noticed it has been bouncing around some with that in recent runs and that's likely part of the reason why. However, the 21z RAP was a huge shift from it's previous runs in regards to qpf and snow totals.
Warning: Goober Alert
It’s happening!
It’s happening!
No snow for you
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What’s KK saying? 60 and sunshine?