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Severe 4/4-4/6 Severe Threat

Mesoscale Discussion 0415
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0322 PM CDT Tue Apr 05 2022

Areas affected...Portions of east-central GA into SC

Concerning...Tornado Watch 96...98...

Valid 052022Z - 052145Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 96, 98 continues.

SUMMARY...The greatest threat for strong tornadoes should focus
across parts of east-central Georgia into South Carolina over the
next 1-2 hours.

DISCUSSION...Multiple tornadic circulations with TDS markers have
recently been observed from the KJGX radar with a broken line of
storms in central GA. A separate TDS and very strong low-level
rotation was also noted earlier with a supercell over Allendale
County SC. The core of a 40-50 kt south-southwesterly low-level jet
overlies this region, and ample low-level shear is present to
support updraft rotation and tornado potential. The northern extent
of the surface-based thunderstorm and substantial tornado threat
will likely be constrained by a surface warm front that is draped
southwest to northeast across central SC. The presence of mid to
upper 60s and even some low 70s surface dewpoints with filtered
diurnal heating is supporting MLCAPE from 500-1000 J/kg, which is
more than sufficient for surface-based convection. The threat for
strong tornadoes in the next 1-2 hours will likely be greatest with
any supercells that can mature ahead of the line across east-central
GA into parts of central/coastal SC. Embedded tornadoes within the
line may also be capable of becoming strong given 300-400 m2/s2 of
0-1 km SRH per recent VWPs from KJGX and KCLX.
 
Not taking very tight couplets to put something on the ground today
 
Although we did get tornadoes here in Alabama, seems like we were spared of the stronger tornadoes, unfortunately not the case in GA & SC.
 
I just loaded up a stream about 15 minutes ago or so, and there's going to be a tornado hitting Branchville, SC in a few minutes apparently based off the stream.

Edit: May be starting to wrap in rain to boot as well.
 
Hello all -
I’m from upstate SC but in Mt Pleasant for a few days.

Why are the polygons in SC so jagged and not following a typical ‘cone’ type shape like we see in Alabama?

It seems that people could easily feel they are safe on the edges of some of these warnings.
 
This is a bit banter-ish given the storms ongoing, but Macon TV station WMAZ just had a reporter talk to a lady with a few twigs in her yard when there is actual tornado damage to a neighborhood nearby.
 
Mannnn. I'm right in line with the path of the TOG west of Savannah. I'm in Beaufort and it's booking its mofo straight this way
 
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