Severe 4/4-4/6 Severe Threat

[Zander98al]

This is what I'm talking about. Very nasty. Please stay safe guys.

 

[deltadog03]

0z HRRR looks very interesting around here tomorrow afternoon. CAPE surges and there might be some fun and games. lets see what 3km nam looks like later.

 

[NorthDFWwx]

Nearly 300 lightning strikes/minute with the storms in Texas.

 

[NorthDFWwx]

 

[NorthDFWwx]

Might have to keep an eye out on the tail end of that line bordering Tarrant County too, as the xells interacts with the outflow boundary and tries to take a right turn.

 

[accu35]

Hey @accu35, you need to watch the weather early tomorrow morning through the day, signals are actually worrisome for somewhere around your neck of the woods . may not verify, but HRRR has some very intense storms near you in south Alabama. Just keep a eye on it. First time I've really ever seen a blue updraft swath. There may be a intense tornado or two in south Alabama tommorow.

Also goes to the other south Alabama board members, keep a eye on tommorow in case things do take a turn for the worse.

Thank you Zander for updating me. Another scary day

 

[Psalm 148:8]

Ok, so BMX shows the line crossing into Georgia around 4 or 5 tomorrow.. David Chandley shows 10 am through 2 pm.. thoughts on these timing differences?

 

[Gopack42]

Yeah I'm at least slightly intrigued on this. Looks very conditional but the HRRR hints at this with storms firing in the evening. BL kind of recovers but it's very meh on instability. Anything that fires later in the day has some potential though.

View attachment 116752View attachment 116753

Ummmm. I'm out of town working in Beaufort SC, just north of Hilton Head. I take it purple isn't good.

 

[Windergawx]

Ok, so BMX shows the line crossing into Georgia around 4 or 5 tomorrow.. David Chandley shows 10 am through 2 pm.. thoughts on these timing differences?

Wheres guy sharp when we need him

 

[NorthDFWwx]

Nearly 300 lightning strikes/minute with the storms in Texas.

Nearly 400 lightning strikes/minute now.

 

[Brent]

Ok, so BMX shows the line crossing into Georgia around 4 or 5 tomorrow.. David Chandley shows 10 am through 2 pm.. thoughts on these timing differences?

High res models favor David and earlier right now

 

[NorthDFWwx]

Even with it being nighttime, can see a nice looking shelf cloud.

 

[jackendrickwx]

 

[NorthDFWwx]

Definitely getting some drought relief...

 

[deltadog03]

I could possibly see a low end MDT (or maybe higher end ENH) IF** the 3km NAM and HRRR are right. 00z nam (3k) looks pretty ominous around here.

 

[Arcc]

I could possibly see a low end MDT (or maybe higher end ENH) IF** the 3km NAM and HRRR are right. 00z nam (3k) looks pretty ominous around here.

Both WRFs absolutely light up the southern AL area. I could absolutely see the MCS breaking into semi-discrete cells there.

 

[NorthDFWwx]

Not much wind or hail here (had some stones mixed in with the rain for a few minutes), but the vivid lightning (including cloud-to-ground), the shelf cloud, the blinding rain, the training and the loud cracks of thunder, all combined for a just plain ol' awesome storm!

 

[deltadog03]

Both WRFs absolutely light up the southern AL area. I could absolutely see the MCS breaking into semi-discrete cells there.

I agree, this could be a MGM (area) to MCN (area) special tomorrow.

 

[NorthDFWwx]

 

[NorthDFWwx]