Severe 3/30-4/2 Severe Weather

[Zander98al]

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Have a hunch that the warm sector isn't fully realized. Even with cloud cover if it happens. a strong LLJ does wonders when ushering in WAA. April 28th 2014 was cloud cover all day and utilized a strong LLJ. Albeit that was a month later like SD said, even so.

My rule of thumb is to always bet on a more unstable atmosphere. ?

 

[NWMSGuy]

@Zander98al Seeing cloud breaks before the activity late Wednesday. Not a good look. Question is, will this be realized more closer to go time?

 

[Zander98al]

@Zander98al Seeing cloud breaks before the activity late Wednesday. Not a good look. Question is, will this be realized more closer to go time?
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Lol tbh I highly doubt theyre will be that much cloud breaks but, still 3+ days out so I mean it's anyone's guess at this point but if I had to guess we will be socked in with clouds.

 

[NWMSGuy]

Reed Timmers thoughts:

 

[tempo47]

When i look at spc outlook for wed/thurs it just skips GA, any idea what type of storm mode is anticipated here?

 

[NCSNOW]

Extraordinarily Rare Convective Outlook Shows Severe Weather Outbreak Possible for New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Maryland, Delaware, Virginia, and North Carolina on Thursday - NewsBreak

For the first time since records began in 2009, the National Weather Service’s Storm Prediction Center has issued a Convective Outlook that shows the potential for...

share.newsbreak.com

 

[NoSnowATL]

Coming in overnight/ morning. No juice

 

[NWMSGuy]

21Z SREF Run has parameters increasing over MS compared to its previous 15Z run. Previous run had contours around 45 crossing MS. Now it is showing to have increased contours to 60. Concerning considering we are still close to 72 hours out.

 

[tennessee storm]

21Z SREF Run has parameters increasing over MS compared to its previous 15Z run. Previous run had contours around 45 crossing MS. Now it is showing to have increased contours to 60. Concerning considering we are still close to 72 hours out.
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Noticed this pretty much each run today . Interesting 0z runs shaping up tonite . Watch trend

 

[Arcc]

Reed Timmers thoughts:
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If he had a 25% accuracy rate on outbreaks, the entire south would have already been leveled…..twice.

 

[Johnkittz]

If he had a 25% accuracy rate on outbreaks, the entire south would have already been leveled…..twice.

Yeah. He calls for a outbreak almost every system. I'm glad he's not accurate. There would be no more south lol

 

[NWMSGuy]

 

[Zander98al]

Spc remained with the huge risk area, no upgrade to moderate!

 

[Zander98al]

 

[jackendrickwx]

GFS is essentially a nothing burger for the Carolinas because its too fast

 

[Myfrotho704_]

GFS is essentially a nothing burger for the Carolinas because its too fast

Probably gonna be a nothing burger

 

[SD]

Probably gonna be a nothing burger

Nothing Burger likely

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

coming soon to a backyard near you

 

[SD]

coming soon to a backyard near you
View attachment 116350

Should we issue a nothing burger watch

 

[Zander98al]

@tennessee storm spc mentions derecho possibility for wensday although not directly saying it. Based off the FV3 and nam 3km. Theres a pretty distinct hint at it.