Severe 3/30-4/2 Severe Weather

[Iceresistance]

(First Post)

I'm going to have some Severe Weather action on March 30th, it appears linear for my area, but there's a chance that the models will shift into a more discrete mode & a slower storm system, the SPC has a Slight Risk for my area on D5 & the Mississippi River Valley from Illinois to Louisiana & Mississippi on D6

EDIT: It looks like that the bulk of the Severe Weather on D5 is along & west of US-69

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Euro definitely did choose violence

 

[Zander98al]

Euro definitely did choose violence View attachment 116255

That's about as high of a look for discreet convection you'll get with the euro lol. Veering of winds are better this go around from last event.

 

[Zander98al]

Wind fields look really impressive with this system … large warm sector out ahead of a potent negative titled trough spells trouble … with impressive low level shear showing concerning for discrete activity out ahead main line … also not on 12z euro , system appears slowed down tad, so timing as now for Memphis area thinking early evening maybe now. But all modes severe hazard are on the table thus far . Plenty time watch for changes also meso stuff be more clearer… edit. I do think spc will pull trigger N show higher probs severe weather by end weekend , if things hold

Timing will change with this setup some, always does. as stupid as it sounds you will probably see a shift more east for higher threat area. Like clockwork it always happens lol. Checked some soundings for multiple areas, pretty good veering with winds. Better placement of 500mb winds like arcc said you'd rather have them coming more from west/southwest which they are.

 

[Zander98al]

Here we go again

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Hey look at us go !

 

[BHS1975]

Hey look at us go ! View attachment 116268

That's a lot for day 6.


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[Rain Cold]

That's a lot for day 6.


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It will be long gone by then.

 

[Iceresistance]

I'm on the move too on D5, so that's basically a win for all of us! ?

 

[Zander98al]

Hey GFS don't get on board with the euro..

 

[Zander98al]

Ridiculous hodograph per the GFS. For the state line MS/AL. Low cape and etc. But impressive hodograph.

 

[Snowfan]

S Central MS.

 

[Zander98al]

S Central MS.

7.3 ehi on a global OOF.
Not much of a dry layer anywhere in that sounding.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Slightly less SW flow with this system in Dixie, higher ceiling for supercells, still leaning on the side of a QLCS with pinwheeling vorticity maximums/SWs embedded in the H5 trough

 

[NoSnowATL]

Slightly less SW flow with this system in Dixie, higher ceiling for supercells, still leaning on the side of a QLCS with pinwheeling vorticity maximums/SWs embedded in the H5 trough

What

 

[jackendrickwx]

@SD Euro still looks solid for severe here. GFS sped it up some which messes w/ best timing w/ heating

 

[NWMSGuy]

EURO :

 

[Iceresistance]

EURO :

View attachment 116284

Looks like a crazy day for the Mississippi River Valley, also with Supercells in the Enhanced risk area, I'm not going to be surprised at yet another Moderate Risk for Mississippi, Climo favors Dixie Alley for Severe Storms until at least April/May

 

[HSVweather]

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Noice