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Severe 3/30-4/2 Severe Weather

That is an interesting forecast at this range ? unfortunately my family is visiting next week so not the best time Screenshot_20220323-150147.png
 
GFS continues to show something along these lines. Somebody smarter than me will have to show more relevant maps at this range.
gfs_cape_seus_35.png
 
500mb placement a bit better for discreet convection than the last threat it looks like.
 
Might be interesting here for this one... We were too cold on Monday. Timing looks awful though Screenshot_20220324-155322.png
 
Day 5 and 6 severe probs added by the SPC. also notes D7 potential in the Carolinas but uncertainty with buoyancy and forcing (shocker)
View attachment 116227View attachment 116228
Yeah typical carolina split look here, forcing going north, cape chasing remnant qlcs going south.

Looking back over it I will say the 0z euro looked pretty ominous for us vs the gfs
 
Yeah typical carolina split look here, forcing going north, cape chasing remnant qlcs going south.

Looking back over it I will say the 0z euro looked pretty ominous for us vs the gfs
Yeah I was impressed by the shear from the euro. Would have loved to have soundings
 
Convection looks a good bit more broken up, from previous runs for Alabama and Mississippi. Overall a bit better placment for discrete stuff
 
Wind fields look really impressive with this system … large warm sector out ahead of a potent negative titled trough spells trouble … with impressive low level shear showing concerning for discrete activity out ahead main line … also not on 12z euro , system appears slowed down tad, so timing as now for Memphis area thinking early evening maybe now. But all modes severe hazard are on the table thus far . Plenty time watch for changes also meso stuff be more clearer… edit. I do think spc will pull trigger N show higher probs severe weather by end weekend , if things hold
 
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