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Tropical 2025 Tropical Thread

Brent said:
The early cold fronts/shear

I will stress however that last year Helene and Milton were still to come
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ya rolling stable air injections since mid august haven't been ideal
Brent said:
EPS is quite aggressive. Several hurricane landfalls. This is inside 10 days too View attachment 175017
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interesting times ahead. however very hard to bank on any solution with two storms in the mix- no model is going to have a handle on how their outflows could destructively interfere with one another (if a storm even forms)- sit and gawk at the fun runs but don't get too wrapped up in them either
 
Noles1812 said:
Question for you men. Why is the Gulf so quite this year?
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The westerly shear is the biggest issue in what has been a quiet Gulf basin this year. Water temperatures are plenty warm and the MJO is supposed to shift into a more favorable phase for development soon which should lessen the shear so that the Gulf might finally get things going within the next couple of weeks.
 
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