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Severe 2025 Severe Thread

CAMS did horrible with the MCS this morning in AL/GA

6z HRRR valid 10amIMG_4497.png

3K NAM valid 10am IMG_4498.png

Reality lol IMG_4499.png
 
Radar picking up on 60-70mph winds heading towards Warner Robins
IMG_4500.png
 
Yeah, that severe storm is going to slide to my southeast, but based on the radar look with those storms not dying, my rain/thunderstorm chances are more than like 20% lol (probably at least 50%).
 
Brent said:
DFW may have a problem soonView attachment 172830
Click to expand...

That's what I'm thinking if it doesn't fall apart as I watch Ryan Hall's stream.

PDS tornado/severe thunderstorm warning continues for this entire storm and apparently there's been a lot of damage reported in Gordon, TX from the tornado.

Edit: Yeah, the SPC discussion basically says "tornadic supercell threat" continues.

Edit2: Not wanting to triple post, so I'll drop this off here, observed about 20 mins ago or so with the supercell:

 
Last edited:
Brent said:
PDS warning approaching Southwestern DFW
Click to expand...

Luckily seems as if the tornado threat may be not quite as bad now (still probably PDS severe warning), but I did some searching, and this storm did have (and maybe still, who knows) a history of producing tornadoes along I-20 and caused some damage in Gordon:

 
And I'm in the bullseye for today 😬

Gonna be an interesting day

And Tuesday is hatched in MS TN into ALspccoday1.tornado.latest (2).png
 
Meanwhile models are all over the place here at 6 hours out. The HRRR has almost no rain even 🤣 🤣 🤣

Still not even sure this is a real event in the metro
 
New day 2 expanded the enhanced East a bit
 
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