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Tropical 2024 Tropical Thread

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BirdManDoomW said:
We need some fish storms? I haven’t looked but haven’t every single storm hit land so far?! Waves is enough for me. Enough action this year for the US. Give Canada a little storm or Bermuda and call it.
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Yes some will go fish but unlike the last few years some wont. Looks like the general track this season if west of bermuda while the last many years its been well east of Bermuda
 
Good news on the 0Z UKMET, which has this for the first time: at the end it is moving N at 73W implying it would very likely miss the CONUS on this run. Please stay far away!

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 162 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+162 : 22.5N 73.1W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 16.08.2024 168 23.1N 73.2W 1008 31
 
0Z GFS: recurves the AEW safely E of the US E coast (72-3W)
 
The mean of the 0Z GEFS is a bit further west than most of the recent runs implying a higher chance for a CONUS hit than those runs.
 
0Z Euro: heading N at 240 at 40N, 67W aiming toward E ME, New Brunswick, and Nova Scotia
 
0Z EPS mean is E of the more threatening GEFS with very few in the Gulf and most members recurving E of the US. A nontrivial number still hit the E coast, however. So, a long way to go!
 
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