Tropical 2024 Tropical Thread Reboot

[NCSNOW]

12z Euro does the same as other Globals,. Hp keeps it in the GOM oven, then pulls it out east across Florida day 10

 

[Avalanche]

There's Francine and her cousin Gordon on the Bus and ETA in the Conus 16 days: Aug 30.
See Lex, you don't even need a computer Model: Satellite will do you just as well:


View attachment 149952

I hope Uganda is getting some much needed rain!!!

 

[lexxnchloe]

EURO AI

 

[Henry2326]

They moved the circle. It will take them 48 hours to move it just over southwestern Gulf where it's gonna start.

 

[Henry2326]

EURO AI


View attachment 152431

To my point earlier about the GFS having such a significant high in place. It's much weaker on 10/13 on the Euro AI which allows the storm to move up the southeast coast.

 

[lexxnchloe]

 

[Henry2326]

View attachment 152433

Relatively same spot as 12z.

 

[lexxnchloe]

Relatively same spot as 12z.

But 6mb stronger. GFS similar spot

 

[Henry2326]

The high didn't drop as far down as the 12z.

 

[jrips27]

 

[Henry2326]

Not kidding.....they changed the shape to more round but over the same space.

 

[accu35]

Gfs keeps pushing this thing south

 

[Henry2326]

Gfs keeps pushing this thing south

Yep, 06z did too.
Icon also at 00z but then 06z has brought it back up into FL, as well as Euro. CMC is the only one that developed it and brought it in around Tampa.

 

[NCSNOW]

 

[Henry2326]

View attachment 152444

Icon shows a low on Friday.
Euro on Saturday.
CMC and GFS on Sunday.

 

[NCSNOW]

In at Tampa and off at Jax heading NE = OTS on this run

 

[NCSNOW]

 

[Arcc]

In at Tampa and off at Jax heading NE = OTS on this run

View attachment 152445

Really no threat to the northern gulf on any of the models unless there is a massive change at H5.

 

[Henry2326]

North FL and South GA do not need this water......chant "stay south, stay south." That doesn't help but makes me feel better.

 

[AJ1013]

North FL and South GA do not need this water......chant "stay south, stay south." That doesn't help but makes me feel better.

View attachment 152447

We don't need the water either. I'm fine with a hurricane though as long as it drags some cooler and drier air in behind it.