Tropical 2024 Tropical Thread Reboot

lexxnchloe · 2024-09-18T09:40:59-0400

Henry2326 said:
06z GFS running faster and weaker to 9/26......and looks spooky similar to CMC.
ICON, Euro, and AI going west and then up into gulf.

View attachment 151231

View attachment 151230

987. getting weaker each run now

lexxnchloe · 2024-09-18T09:41:56-0400

Yagi looks better over land than most ATL systems look over 30C water

Henry2326 · 2024-09-18T10:11:30-0400

lexxnchloe said:
987. getting weaker each run now

Too far out to focus on pressure. Need a center first.

GaWx · 2024-09-18T12:44:37-0400

The NHC lemon has just come into the 12Z UKMET’s 168 hour range and it has TCG at 162 in NW Caribbean 200 miles SSW of W top of Cuba moving NNE toward W Cuba:

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 162 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+162 : 18.9N 86.2W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 25.09.2024 168 19.4N 86.0W 1004 27

GaWx · 2024-09-18T12:52:28-0400

Some other 12Z runs:

-GFS 988 into FL Big Bend early 9/27 and then ENE to N of Daytona

-CMC 974 Pensacola late afternoon 9/26

lexxnchloe · 2024-09-18T13:18:55-0400

lexxnchloe · 2024-09-18T13:20:01-0400

lexxnchloe · 2024-09-18T13:22:44-0400

GFS has a very weak GOM hit, then this. seems unlikely

lexxnchloe · 2024-09-18T13:23:33-0400

Webberweather53 · 2024-09-18T13:44:40-0400

This looks like it’s gonna be a big ol sloppy mess.

lexxnchloe · 2024-09-18T13:59:10-0400

Webberweather53 said:
This looks like it’s gonna be a big ol sloppy mess.

Yea, its going to have to slow down to be anything otherwise its a strung out bunch of rain. I dont believe the GFS after the weak storm hit at all.

lexxnchloe · 2024-09-18T14:03:03-0400

Webberweather53 said:
This looks like it’s gonna be a big ol sloppy mess.

I actually find the 2 possible weak storms more interesting even though they amount to nothing

NWMSGuy · 2024-09-18T14:17:41-0400

12Z Euro

lexxnchloe · 2024-09-18T14:22:55-0400

NWMSGuy said:
12Z EuroView attachment 151243

Not much

Brent · 2024-09-18T14:36:36-0400

EPS all over the place

GaWx · 2024-09-18T14:59:39-0400

12Z JMA: middle of Gulf 9/26 moving N 1004 mb

NoSnowATL · 2024-09-18T15:00:31-0400

What you got @accu35 . Coming your way!

SASQUATCH · 2024-09-18T15:01:53-0400

NoSnowATL said:
What you got @accu35 . Coming your way!

Hide yo wives, hide yo children, and charge your phones

lexxnchloe · 2024-09-18T15:02:11-0400

GaWx said:
12Z JMA: middle of Gulf 9/26 moving N 1004 mb

Henry2326 · 2024-09-18T16:58:16-0400

Alot of red here.....and 100% east movement.

Tropical 2024 Tropical Thread Reboot

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