lexxnchloe
Member
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Tropical 2024 Tropical Thread Reboot
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
lexxnchloe
Member
1009mb low in east carib
Brent
Member
Alrighty then GFS 
0Z GEFS says that the 0Z GFS is a major W outlier as just about all members recurve in the E Gulf. This is about the most threatening GEFS to W FL from Big Bend S of any run yet.
0Z UKMET has no TC through 168.
0Z UKMET has no TC through 168.
lexxnchloe
Member
Then gets caught in the trof and zooms NE
lexxnchloe
Member
GFS not to be outdone has this cane on the far right
Move SW to here
Move SW to here
lexxnchloe
Member
lexxnchloe
Member
lexxnchloe
Member
EURO AI
Ends like this with the cane moving wnw and the storm to the south moving wnw
Ends like this with the cane moving wnw and the storm to the south moving wnw
My word, the size of this thing. Coastal flooding would be devastating from SE Louisiana eastward.
HugeSnowStick
Member
I do not want death and destruction, but the interior SE, N GA, ATL metro, is desperately dry, we need this asap.
Henry2326
Member
Thank God! Saves me a ton of time so I don't sort through stuff that doesn't matter. I'm sure all the folks who don't really care to learn about it, but need the info once a year, appreciate it too.
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NoSnowATL
Member
Nasty runs overnight
Henry2326
Member
Well, that GFS storm isn't the way to get it. All I see with that is flash flooding.
Henry2326
Member
. Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Southeastern Gulf of Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure could form by early next week over the
western and northwestern Caribbean Sea. Thereafter, gradual
development of this system is possible, and a tropical depression
could form as the system moves slowly to the north or northwest over
the northwestern Caribbean Sea and into the southern Gulf of Mexico
through the middle part of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
A broad area of low pressure could form by early next week over the
western and northwestern Caribbean Sea. Thereafter, gradual
development of this system is possible, and a tropical depression
could form as the system moves slowly to the north or northwest over
the northwestern Caribbean Sea and into the southern Gulf of Mexico
through the middle part of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
Brent
Member
Yeah I don't even want to imagine the flooding if the 0z GFS verified... 5 days in the Gulf at that size...
Luckily it's a model run a week out because that's one of the worst runs I've ever seen
NoSnowATL
Member
Need a center and what will that H do. Two big questions we will have to wait on.
The first thing that jumps out at me is the size of storm being depicted on some of these model runs. This could cover a lot of area