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Tropical 2024 Tropical Thread Reboot

Watching what the gfs does in the long range with the strong wave leaving Africa should make anyone question its long term projections. Brings the wave off to the CV then turns it around and Fujiwara effects its almost all the way back to landfall on Africa
 
Oh well, GFS finds a way to recurve it east of bermuda in what should have a perfect pattern. Its also a "one off" with a dead ATL once again. no conga line because it goes so far east it kills any chance of another meaningful wave. Only interesting thing on the GFS is a weak low in the NE Gom.
Henry2326 said:
That one member has a similar path to Hugo.

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GFS says its another ernie, east, up and out. The GOM low amounts to nothing because of course it just heads over land and rains. No conga line of waves because of the recurver. Not much for peak


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I always look past the storm on the map to see is things really are favorable. They arent, The ATL looks exactly like it did after Deb and ernie



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Lemon.
Central Tropical Atlantic:
An area of low pressure could form in the central portion of the
Tropical Atlantic in a few days. Thereafter, environmental
conditions appear generally favorable for some slow development of
this system by this weekend into early next week as it moves
westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
Click to expand...
 
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