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Tropical 2023 Tropical thread

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lexxnchloe said:
Very disappointing Euro. The cane now is just a weak recurving low. there is another one that will recurve 1000 miles east of that and 1 weak crossover in the BOC that i just dont think will happen. Joe Bastardi has cancelled a sept to remember and now says Sept will be below normal. Overall, its time to wait till next season and hope somehow the tropics will remember how to be favorable.

ecmwf_mslp_pcpn_atl_64.png
Click to expand...

Better luck next year
 
gfs_mslp_pcpn_watl_64.png



This is where it ends up. I know it might end up east of bermuda, over NC or never develops at the next run, lol
 
This is probably why JB is talking about the season slowing down during the peak. Doesn't mean we won't have something but it's not super favorable the last week of August into the first third of September. Extrapolate this out and it may get favorable again the last third of September into early October

eps_chi200_global_9.png

Vs

eps_chi200_global_31.png
 
What gets mildly interesting to me is the potential to have one of the trio of systems in the Atlantic or maybe a 4th wave to potentially not be enticed out to sea then the CONUS pattern reverting back to what we've seen a lot this summer with a ridge in the west trough in the east. If that happens maybe you can grab something and pull it north but that seems low potential at best
 
@lexxnchloe ...

You NEED to get into the correct thinking..
WE here around (ILM & just outside the forecast area(s)..

We knocked off our clock between, Sept 14th too Mid~ Oct.. 15th through 30th..
You EVER been through a good CANE in WILM?..

Heh, Heh, Heh.. ;);)
 
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