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Severe 2023 Spring Severe

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Both the Euro and GFS paint a nasty severe picture for AL/GA for the end of next week. Tornadoes look probable if that look continues to be depicted. We better hope the SE ridge stays put because when it slides out of the way, the transition going to full latitude trough is going to be harsh.
 

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Day 4 outlook for Sunday brought the 30% area east into OKC and Tulsa. 15% area expanded towards Dallas a well. Looks like this could be a pretty nasty wind event with a strong QLCS sweeping through.5E422427-00C7-432A-921D-96F3E2D16FCB.gif
 
Pulling for the Euro for next week. I really hope the GFS caves to it. GFS 70 kt bulk shear and 700 to 1700 J kg of CAPE would be rough as that squall line moves through, not to mention anything firing out in front of the line. Euro has a nice cold rain and elevated storms over my area, at least.
 

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Wind driven Moderate risk across western OK for tomorrow. So far temperatures look to only be in the low 60s tomorrow night so tornadoes shouldn’t be a significant problem, but there is a crazy amount of wind energy with this system. Tomorrow evening is gonna be interesting.951A6D33-B4C6-4D16-A3A6-AB8207503FCE.png
 
Looks like a late night event here yay

Crazy to talk about considering it's still in the 40s here but that's probably why the tornado threat is muted
 
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